TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b0b…612a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
534
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT44046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 440 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)backed Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.33
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.77
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+322.3%+$70.92
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.21
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.69
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$85.27
Showing 25 of 440 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT7219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.22
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$110.84
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+300.8%+$141.36
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$120.86
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$61.88
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$29.72
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.