Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928aed45b56a6d51ca1ba85b43ff43e19d279be657c8c1f581d5f558583d6b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Karmine Corp, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 47,937$23,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,055.71 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 31,604$19,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,947.18 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked FUT Esports | 41c | 26,111$10,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,356.53 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.93 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 13,518$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.33 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed FUT Esports | 52c | 13,235$6,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 11,986$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.49 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed FUT Esports | 49c | 9,635$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.37 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 9,382$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.44 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 9,144$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.1 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 8,464$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.5 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 7,725$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed FUT Esports | 50c | 6,267$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.27 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 5,839$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.72 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed FUT Esports | 43c | 5,523$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.73 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 4,890$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 4,836$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.71 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 4,834$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.07 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 4,360$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.48 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 62c | 4,187$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.7 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed FUT Esports | 48c | 3,769$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.8 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 3,342$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.25 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed FUT Esports | 64c | 3,159$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 2,938$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.76 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 2,913$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 2,777$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked FUT Esports | 73c | 2,755$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 2,729$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.1 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…a05fbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 2,697$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 2,601$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.2 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 2,582$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.34 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Karmine Corp | 15c | 2,540$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 2,508$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.24 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c4…02fdbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 2,497$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed FUT Esports | 60c | 2,496$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.38 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed FUT Esports | 64c | 2,457$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.41 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 2,331$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.29 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed Karmine Corp | 5c | 2,241$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed FUT Esports | 58c | 2,207$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.82 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked FUT Esports | 78c | 2,168$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.47 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed FUT Esports | 63c | 2,099$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 2,098$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.73 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed FUT Esports | 59c | 2,068$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed FUT Esports | 43c | 2,021$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.22 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 2,021$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.63 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked FUT Esports | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 1,991$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.21 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FUT Esports | 61c | 1,616$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.55 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed FUT Esports | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 1,424$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.59 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed FUT Esports | 64c | 1,337$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed FUT Esports | 52c | 1,286$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.49 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed FUT Esports | 38c | 1,217$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.65 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 1,195$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.92 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 1,143$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.72 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed FUT Esports | 51c | 1,129$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.76 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,120$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.11 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FUT Esports | 49c | 1,074$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.41 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 1,056$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed FUT Esports | 49c | 992$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.59 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…75bbbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 983$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed FUT Esports | 48c | 977.58$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked FUT Esports | 61c | 964.59$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.52 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed FUT Esports | 40c | 964$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 940.4$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.02 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 859.76$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.66 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…c654backed FUT Esports | 64c | 774.85$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 755.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…df36backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 749.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 716.53$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.92 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed FUT Esports | 48c | 666.84$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.88 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 644$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…8ce3backed FUT Esports | 64c | 629.88$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.76 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked FUT Esports | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 612.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 611.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 577.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 577.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…4129backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 566.37$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 564.87$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.66 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports | 62c | 527$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.37 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 516.35$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed FUT Esports | 66c | 512.35$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 510$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed FUT Esports | 55c | 501.44$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0e…270abacked FUT Esports | 51c | 499.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.91 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 483.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…7911backed FUT Esports | 73c | 483.05$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed FUT Esports | 63c | 476.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 473.92$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…f2e8backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 457.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 452.49$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked Karmine Corp | 16c | 435.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.