TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b90…f361backed FUT Esports58c13,495$7,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,797.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Karmine Corp41c12,591$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,456.2454851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp57c4,842$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.1594361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp55c3,833$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9553359.3%316 W · 217 L+42.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp57c3,549$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.3168658.3%400 W · 286 L+56.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp59c2,346$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.9165759.4%390 W · 267 L+50.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FUT Esports31c1,628$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.4330147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked FUT Esports59c1,526$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.286063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports20c1,520$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8868949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Karmine Corp45c1,197$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FUT Esports56c1,109$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.1631153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54093848%450 W · 488 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FUT Esports52c886.48$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.4262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked FUT Esports55c774.04$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7214152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed FUT Esports65c748.22$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.977565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Karmine Corp45c641.05$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5833153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Karmine Corp56c609.74$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0110455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp58c549.84$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1278862.8%495 W · 293 L+56.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x272b…7e75backed FUT Esports67c529.06$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports16c517.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.731,42851.2%731 W · 697 L+48.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports32c495.43$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.61,37039%534 W · 836 L-59.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Karmine Corp59c478.96$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8829151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports45c422.52$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.41,61437.5%605 W · 1,009 L-75.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked FUT Esports54c386.09$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.491450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed FUT Esports29c376.9$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2141835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Karmine Corp40c375.74$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9420840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked FUT Esports48c362.83$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4414747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed FUT Esports51c332.45$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.079041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Karmine Corp47c325.43$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8833946.3%157 W · 182 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Karmine Corp46c304.1$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6320248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked FUT Esports68c294$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.924738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports36c285.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.031,38647.3%655 W · 731 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp67c282.53$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7823964%153 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports32c272.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.751,28432.1%412 W · 872 L-67.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked FUT Esports63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.52369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed FUT Esports37c241$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6314436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed FUT Esports37c240$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.99438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f24…b463backed FUT Esports48c232.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f2…ee56backed FUT Esports37c211.35$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.24254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed Karmine Corp55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed FUT Esports41c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.512243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed FUT Esports18c198.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1723644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked FUT Esports49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed FUT Esports51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.126045%27 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Karmine Corp51c189.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2470251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked FUT Esports31c186$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.26939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FUT Esports42c169.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.031,00145.9%459 W · 542 L-28.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed FUT Esports41c162$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0626730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed FUT Esports39c152$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9912633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed FUT Esports47c144.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5619439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed FUT Esports35c144.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4525752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed FUT Esports41c143$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9813336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed FUT Esports48c132.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9621454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed FUT Esports54c127.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.963339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef2…98e0backed FUT Esports47c125.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.892850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed FUT Esports35c125$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1415839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked FUT Esports10c115.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked FUT Esports50c114.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed FUT Esports62c106.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0110217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed FUT Esports38c105.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4126436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed FUT Esports44c104.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1122542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Karmine Corp35c103$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.958345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked FUT Esports26c102.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8330828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed FUT Esports48c101.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bcb…3a30backed FUT Esports44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed FUT Esports59c99.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5142840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked FUT Esports49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Karmine Corp40c96.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.116046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed FUT Esports31c93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed FUT Esports60c90.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.277655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Karmine Corp53c87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.896747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked FUT Esports24c86.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.848634.9%30 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Karmine Corp42c85.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.635538.2%21 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked FUT Esports45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0534647.7%165 W · 181 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FUT Esports37c80.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.761,50346.5%699 W · 804 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Karmine Corp52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.421257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed FUT Esports37c70.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Karmine Corp52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.663652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.631,74846.2%808 W · 940 L-2.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Karmine Corp58c58.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.614766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e4c…02a4backed FUT Esports50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db8…975ebacked Karmine Corp52c54.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x429a…c211backed Karmine Corp54c52.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.252642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18d1…57ddbacked Karmine Corp46c50.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.762958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked FUT Esports58c50.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed FUT Esports38c48.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2912350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b48…73e2backed FUT Esports41c47.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Karmine Corp34c45.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1557517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed FUT Esports45c36.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.474548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8112…4129backed FUT Esports71c34.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.441163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed Karmine Corp59c34.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.094060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked FUT Esports48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.412159.5%72 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Karmine Corp44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2730544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Karmine Corp43c25.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.723540%14 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed FUT Esports54c23.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9332261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed FUT Esports52c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.247852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c8…b82abacked Karmine Corp49c21.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Karmine Corp65c15.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.542766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.