TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6fd…1128

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.09
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$326.76
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$372.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will B8 qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+477.1%+$119.16
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$164.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$355.11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.96
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$465.92
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.13
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+430.8%+$2,650.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,099.98
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.1%+$470.59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$333.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$561
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$164.71
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$107.83
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.61
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.54
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$440.09
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.05
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.7
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$1,457.85
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.21
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$919.19
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$412.89
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$175.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$371
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$738.91
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+48.1%+$237.21
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.