TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$401,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$504,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6df6…8458backed TheMongolz4c72,409$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.6832425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz25c25,266$6,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,286.2327133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality47c24,371$11,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,829.2181751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed TheMongolz38c16,856$6,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,459.9312648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz30c14,880$4,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,462.031,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz23c14,282$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,350.151,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed TheMongolz19c7,550$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4623333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed TheMongolz37c6,548$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.2157647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz21c6,501$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.161,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed TheMongolz10c5,481$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.289151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked TheMongolz39c5,118$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.418342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality64c4,427$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.6946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Vitality54c4,015$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.636648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed TheMongolz28c3,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0083452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed TheMongolz45c3,533$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.132458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed TheMongolz35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.993056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbba…f349backed TheMongolz42c3,191$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.012532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdea3…e4babacked Vitality55c2,641$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Vitality77c2,344$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.511471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Vitality63c2,222$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.141957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed Vitality74c2,164$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Vitality67c2,091$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.043953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz29c2,057$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.824,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Vitality57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.394949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked TheMongolz1c1,741$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4113416.4%22 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed TheMongolz36c1,708$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Vitality61c1,642$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.884763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed Vitality67c1,618$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.217955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3826045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdb…765cbacked TheMongolz27c1,483$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Vitality68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.592050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed TheMongolz38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed TheMongolz8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Vitality54c1,208$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.494555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked TheMongolz35c1,119$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9823932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Vitality63c1,110$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.475545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Vitality79c1,083$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.838267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd9…46d5backed TheMongolz21c1,000$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5a6…f5b3backed TheMongolz22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef58…7b1bbacked TheMongolz56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Vitality52c966.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.555149%25 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Vitality63c934.8$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.884047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Vitality63c904.76$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7623952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked TheMongolz62c904.67$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6635550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked TheMongolz2c900$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22240%0 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa852…46efbacked Vitality65c890.66$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Vitality65c845.92$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3726251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…995abacked Vitality50c820$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4102035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed TheMongolz10c802.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vitality65c780.66$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.363,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Vitality63c773.21$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.092972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked TheMongolz39c763.53$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29935341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed TheMongolz39c761.54$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29743933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed TheMongolz40c759.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.611044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a9…3f60backed TheMongolz32c728.03$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.74052.5%21 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Vitality63c682.51$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.536347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Vitality57c650.73$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Vitality63c617.46$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4613460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Vitality74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa9…d134backed TheMongolz51c599.98$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.993652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Vitality67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0129851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x170d…ddc0backed Vitality66c590.91$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Vitality49c562.75$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.759723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Vitality58c550$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23158651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz47c527.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.691,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Vitality49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.28038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0729…4e62backed TheMongolz3c497.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Vitality67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7642050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc459…d2acbacked Vitality70c427.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9a9…9d5ebacked Vitality60c416.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked TheMongolz50c414.58$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2917853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Vitality54c401.25$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.810951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1071…42cebacked TheMongolz21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Vitality65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14016649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked TheMongolz51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Vitality54c343.1$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15711440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f99…f4d5backed Vitality48c334.17$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.175461.1%33 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Vitality67c325.37$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3727950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c8…a8a3backed Vitality69c320$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed TheMongolz38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410529.5%31 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Vitality68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9631933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Vitality67c299.6$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8715162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vitality69c281.26$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5569863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ee8…6c2ebacked TheMongolz37c280.53$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Vitality74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.278974.2%66 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0b…e72bbacked Vitality58c241.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed TheMongolz32c215.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.439734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Vitality71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2714951.7%77 W · 72 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Vitality72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3318265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Vitality62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7632352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…9c91backed TheMongolz13c183.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.281030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Vitality64c172.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed TheMongolz60c165$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997156.3%40 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed TheMongolz27c164.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked TheMongolz37c163.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked TheMongolz18c162.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed Vitality69c158.14$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.623847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e4…50e8backed TheMongolz25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad3…1ad5backed TheMongolz35c148$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.85435.2%19 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4fdd…e318backed TheMongolz37c138.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.