TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0729…4e62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Valorant, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 62 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2075%15 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.4%+$88.59
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$42.7
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$29
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+233.3%+$93.8
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$21.76
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+87%+$20
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+50.4%+$16.75
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.7%+$43.12
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80.18
Valorant: GIANTX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+151.9%+$120.6
Valorant: NRG vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$53.93
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$518.52
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$183.28
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)backed Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$278.85
Valorant: Stellae Gaming vs NEXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked Stellae Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$54
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$37.92
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$32.2
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$49.09
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35.78
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.83
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team buster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+150%+$17.71
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62.72
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs XI Esport (BO3)backed XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+588.1%+$163.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$67.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$27.28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-67.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.7
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+71.5%+$168.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Golden Barys (BO1)backed Golden Barys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$291.68
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Election: Geographical Constituency Seat Turnover >40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$158.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.