Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x721280aa00a6ea3e7ec1e6ff1b1453497383f803bf2dacd0e275a75b81d69a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof Pipsqueak+4, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 1,561$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Pipsqueak+4 | 7c | 1,555$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 1,310$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.9 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 75c | 1,230$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.74 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…ed24backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 1,079$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 29cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked VP.Prodigy | 54c | 994.88$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked VP.Prodigy | 58c | 861.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 857.36$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.6 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 839.84$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.58 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 629.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Pipsqueak+4 | 74c | 599.99$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 79c | 544.8$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 523.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 514.15$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Pipsqueak+4 | 77c | 402.57$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 385$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 367.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.37 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 365.39$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Pipsqueak+4 | 74c | 357.15$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.75 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 335.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked VP.Prodigy | 53c | 295.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 76c | 242.49$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy | 40c | 238.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 225.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.13 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed VP.Prodigy | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed VP.Prodigy | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 209.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 196.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked VP.Prodigy | 53c | 187.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VP.Prodigy | 18c | 158.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 147.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 92.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…40cbbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked VP.Prodigy | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 49.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 42.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…8390backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 35.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 34.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…7b9cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 31.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 28.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed VP.Prodigy | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 70cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…c5acbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…f9b5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…4e62backed Pipsqueak+4 | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.