TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x896a…7b9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: IPO, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST5123.5%12 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-59.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NHL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+41.8%+$15.23
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.68
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+87.8%+$47.67
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50.72
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$169.04
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+27.4%+$3.84
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+67.1%+$46.29
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$204.22
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$80.18
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.49
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$68.09
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.27
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.29
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$157.5
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32.55
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.65
Penguins vs. Canadiensbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.06
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+30.9%+$23.18
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+25.1%+$38.08
Sabres vs. Flamesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.76
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.08
Avalanche vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.21
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+394.6%+$163.56
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+188.9%+$326.9
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.87
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$16.4
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.56
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.43
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.05
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$8.45
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$8.35
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.62
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$33
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+48.7%+$71.83
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$302
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+43.1%+$30.13
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+177.2%+$57.99
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42%+$5.26
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.51
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+36.4%+$8
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+90.4%+$31.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+247.3%+$300.97
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$15.79
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$511.29
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.38
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+182%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northeastern Huskies vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.97
UCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+170.1%+$137.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs SHPL (BO3)backed Morningstar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51%+$50.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$34.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$58.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.