TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Blue Jackets, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$772,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$779,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $772,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Blue Jackets44c170,709$74,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,974.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Golden Knights58c162,167$94,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,139.2511955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets42c80,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,60048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Golden Knights58c56,523$32,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,739.727946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights58c52,500$30,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,0501,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Blue Jackets42c43,798$18,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,395.229548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights59c32,818$19,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,549.5447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jackets42c30,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,60010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Blue Jackets40c20,789$8,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,315.4256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights56c20,187$11,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,882.0838748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights58c19,050$11,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,013.811,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets23c18,011$4,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,166.721,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Golden Knights57c17,500$9,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,521.2232946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Golden Knights56c16,172$9,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,115.8348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef1…3713backed Blue Jackets43c13,254$5,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Blue Jackets44c13,182$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8007844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Blue Jackets1c10,365$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9818520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Blue Jackets41c9,756$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Golden Knights58c9,495$5,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.988354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets42c9,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.9851045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Golden Knights58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3603560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc36f…f353backed Golden Knights60c7,177$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Golden Knights57c7,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,98029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Blue Jackets41c6,526$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.7610840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jackets40c6,500$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,618.331,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets41c5,583$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.8360337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Golden Knights58c5,555$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.113363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Blue Jackets58c5,380$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.985853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights59c5,016$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.5679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Blue Jackets0c4,230$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.032504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Blue Jackets24c4,170$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.84339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Blue Jackets42c4,151$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.2122150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…f223backed Blue Jackets26c3,812$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Golden Knights58c3,382$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.6113449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Golden Knights57c3,287$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.3520354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Blue Jackets43c2,844$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.1140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Golden Knights60c2,657$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.5922852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets36c2,551$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.091,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Golden Knights56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Blue Jackets43c2,417$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.3161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights62c2,326$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.61,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blue Jackets20c2,237$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Blue Jackets4c2,199$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.174117.1%7 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights58c2,174$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.851,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets38c2,140$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.2367051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Golden Knights53c2,134$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.777354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Blue Jackets42c2,029$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8525046%23 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blue Jackets42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jackets7c1,923$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.252,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Golden Knights18c1,827$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.147230.6%22 W · 50 L+14.5wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+218.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Golden Knights61c1,798$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7454047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights59c1,775$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.0497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Blue Jackets43c1,755$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.656656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blue Jackets41c1,750$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.2744551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Golden Knights61c1,750$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.55154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets1c1,666$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.557450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights65c1,632$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Blue Jackets42c1,600$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67224845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Blue Jackets13c1,550$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.51421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jackets41c1,500$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Blue Jackets43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9836038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Golden Knights71c1,410$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Blue Jackets26c1,335$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Golden Knights56c1,314$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.1684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blue Jackets42c1,306$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.3985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Golden Knights61c1,290$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.12965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Golden Knights59c1,283$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.424067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0160249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blue Jackets10c1,084$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.371,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Blue Jackets1c1,059$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8910429.8%31 W · 73 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights61c1,024$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets68c1,003$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.2385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Golden Knights57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Golden Knights62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Blue Jackets42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Golden Knights76c939.69$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.985364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets11c912.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights57c900.05$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.461,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Blue Jackets9c900$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Blue Jackets28c871$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0827739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets38c870$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Golden Knights76c860$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.45959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Blue Jackets17c854.22$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.291,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights56c837.39$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.542,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Blue Jackets9c766.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets42c750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Blue Jackets40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008547.1%40 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights56c749.99$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Golden Knights60c748.2$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2814848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Golden Knights71c714$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5252172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Golden Knights58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2944042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights75c694.86$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.852,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Blue Jackets60c694.02$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.4111745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896a…7b9cbacked Blue Jackets23c677.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.55123.5%12 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-59.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc862…65afbacked Blue Jackets39c638.46$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Blue Jackets39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2348941.6%37 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.