TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x919d…60e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
705
Categories scored
43
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8737.9%33 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,932.4
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42%+$355.08
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$224.4
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+407.4%+$3,853.97
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$1,713.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$655
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$216
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$435.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$273.92
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$235
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.44
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$533
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.89
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$60.6
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT7653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$75.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$215
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+27.4%+$129
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$640
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$76.31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$200
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+68.1%+$405
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$238.83
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.76
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$133.99
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$177
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+25%+$100.45
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs 9INE (BO3)backed FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$699.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+39.2%+$140.83
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60.23
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT5545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$546
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$790
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.99
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$73.14
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$153
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$271.97
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Ruddy Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$102
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$315
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+233.3%+$350
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+222.6%+$483
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+170.3%+$378
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$168
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$312
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$92.78
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$645
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72%+$293
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$900
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$111
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.86
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT5450%27 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$492
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$528
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$211.98
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$277
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$220
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$448
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$411
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$371.99
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$371
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$852
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$313
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$344
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$455.94
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$188
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$322
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST4042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$194.98
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$172
Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$119.64
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$440
Islanders vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+138.1%+$406
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$456
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+84.3%+$366
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$294
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$376
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$167.99
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$282
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$591.99
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$452
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$172
Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$368.59
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$322
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$605
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$266
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$512
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$100.8
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,160.96
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48,076Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+71.2%+$34,208.1
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be greater than 16,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 15,500,000 and 16,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.1%+$42.82
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+138.7%+$1,037.39
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$244.98
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34%+$101.6
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.6
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$80
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+354.5%+$234
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+101.4%+$437.06
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.3%+$2,214.78
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95.21
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+25%+$160
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$168
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,165.99
Will the government shutdown end November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.33
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.4
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.2
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28%+$393.25
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 75 and 99 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.34
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.11
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$815.53
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.31
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.2
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.99
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$1,417.19
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,437.8
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.2
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$738.78
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$126.49
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$239.04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.96
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.7%+$57.9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$400.18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$132.58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.77
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.66
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+879%+$669.24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+64.5%+$196
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$87
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$212.61
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.55
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$250.43
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$247
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$133.22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$508
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$11.56
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.08
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.74
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$148
Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.74
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$168
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,052.71
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$48
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+257.1%+$936
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+40.2%+$114.73
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$170.78
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$96
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$333.93
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.15
Will another movie gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,374
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$121.75
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+212.5%+$272
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+27.6%+$47.62
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$290
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$440.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$585
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+45.5%+$439.54
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$364
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$345
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$377.97
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$135
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$368
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$335.99
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$246
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$215
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$882
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$392
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$513
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$120
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$288
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,045.96
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$108
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$642.61
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+68%+$850
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$138.67
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$481.63
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$150.11
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$112
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$422.25
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,249Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+49.9%+$1,619.81
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.19
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60.6
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$972
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$305
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$440
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,440
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$87
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+177.8%+$128
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$949
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$188
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$287
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$99.41
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+68.5%+$691
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+82.4%+$197.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$712.79
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$175.49
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$55.57
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$58.74
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$396
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$129.75
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$315
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$92
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+95.1%+$390
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$65.79
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.3%+$522
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$232
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$318
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$138
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$275
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$390
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,125
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$270
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+143.9%+$831.9
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,636.34
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.99
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$1,427.97
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+428.3%+$2,026.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,372.52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,816.45
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$239.56
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,475
Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,327
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$814.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974.41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.99
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$294.3
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$395.87
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,093Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$906.53
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$232.23
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$88
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+143.9%+$354
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+52.7%+$138
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$374.14
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$233.1
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.06
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$87
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$138.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morehead State Eagles vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+102.7%+$152
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$247
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$362
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State Spartans: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)backed Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$677
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$960
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-7.5)backed Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$441
Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+185.7%+$390
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,412Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+133.7%+$1,888
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+102.3%+$960.98
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+90.9%+$93.82
O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$425
Troy vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.51
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$470
Memphis vs. East Carolinabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,210
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$65.33
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+76.8%+$391
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.4%+$123
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$112
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$845.43
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$505
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+126.2%+$300.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+270.4%+$219
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$188
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$1,074.98
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$610
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$544.95
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$1,479.96
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$798
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+186.3%+$609.17
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+170.3%+$441
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$443
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$610
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+103.4%+$610
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$204
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$368
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-79.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Magdalena Frechbacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptistebacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Brisbane International: Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keysbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32
ASB Classic: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$368.99
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88%+$257.5
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,442.6
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20.32
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$124
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+174%+$1,538.94
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140.05
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96%+$150.62
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+68.9%+$153
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$76.56
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+39.9%+$114
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$392
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$357.4
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+134.1%+$108.85
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.3%+$78.31
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+137%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$564
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$113
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$77.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$132
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.