TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$466,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e8c…6323backed No29c58,278$16,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,733.6940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes72c43,506$31,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,350.4923355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes72c19,500$14,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,460.0683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…d4d0backed Yes35c14,100$4,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes70c13,778$9,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,105.6425842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes16c13,293$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,120.7667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked No30c12,200$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.9927133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Yes31c8,393$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,751.3410047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed Yes69c7,502$5,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.4916749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…3356backed No65c7,350$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2446…64e2backed No65c6,750$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd305…4e8bbacked Yes16c6,342$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.051136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Yes74c6,288$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.8317945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes18c5,494$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,519.976613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked No10c5,487$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.731933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes72c5,285$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.795736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes38c5,043$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.213059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00013954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes70c4,814$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.3675450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Yes48c4,682$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.2113646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes69c4,321$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.783557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes38c4,247$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.019861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Yes19c4,181$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366.8857647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes16c4,142$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.981,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes21c4,050$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.6322556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked No26c3,850$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00116033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Yes16c3,835$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.828042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes16c3,657$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.2764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e14…fb6bbacked Yes27c3,571$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes18c3,438$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.5913353.4%71 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes19c3,421$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.1642142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Yes19c3,266$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.82050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7c…981cbacked No26c3,231$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.284334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Yes16c2,820$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.8410252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e42…197ebacked Yes76c2,628$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes24c2,519$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.1115747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Yes72c2,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.997653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Yes33c2,407$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.74555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Yes18c2,382$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.8725252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed No28c2,350$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes72c2,234$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.211040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Yes70c2,142$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.424949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc609…7b6fbacked Yes76c2,100$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+52.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed No26c2,072$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.0721055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes20c2,067$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.9412328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c4b…1938backed No26c2,018$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-71.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.389954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Yes20c1,992$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.586535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked No28c1,961$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.78852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No78c1,839$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.442060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes17c1,777$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.8978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…68bebacked Yes19c1,755$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.041070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes18c1,671$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.4876748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Yes18c1,652$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.052839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No24c1,637$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes22c1,566$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.436847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No79c1,537$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.734560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Yes18c1,500$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes18c1,500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b6c…5ab5backed No80c1,496$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe99a…e9fbbacked Yes69c1,450$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes74c1,427$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.255250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Yes18c1,387$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes74c1,350$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3543237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa25b…e383backed Yes19c1,310$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes18c1,307$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.6737752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbbb5…e30dbacked Yes17c1,298$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.751315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes38c1,248$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.7981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked No62c1,202$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe004…7849backed Yes19c1,188$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+416.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes37c1,171$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.0725934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf94…402dbacked Yes74c1,143$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.47540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes22c1,138$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.423231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes17c1,089$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.6916449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes21c1,073$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.076229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Yes20c1,046$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.6766034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31011440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes18c999.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9917246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf085…fe9cbacked Yes30c995.04$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.542334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No77c963.46$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x390d…777cbacked Yes21c916.46$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes16c899.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.286225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes21c800$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6322650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes17c790$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.7520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes17c777$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.911,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Yes74c771.54$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8514951.7%77 W · 72 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…f8eabacked No33c758.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Yes17c751.32$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.1213740.9%56 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33e…79cabacked Yes73c745.84$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes20c742$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.3913740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…9010backed No28c720.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No59c717.73$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.4612145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87eb…c00cbacked Yes20c706.26$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+64.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Yes22c699.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5469153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d3…4c58backed Yes74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c663.67$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.8231735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.