TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Will paiN Gaming win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,690 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c8,566$44 inLost-$43.76613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8334…4e9fbacked Yes1c7,844$53 inLost-$52.93813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-71.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd00c…a13bbacked Yes1c7,126$93 inLost-$92.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0898…3682backed Yes1c7,100$92 inLost-$92.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c6,294$43 inLost-$43.341,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bee…c140backed Yes1c5,830$41 inLost-$41.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e93…69ebbacked Yes1c5,038$45 inLost-$45.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Yes1c4,823$61 inLost-$6111558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6113…2443backed Yes1c4,699$31 inLost-$31.415738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Yes0c4,178$17 inLost-$16.7110252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes1c4,150$35 inLost-$34.591,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Yes2c2,935$50 inLost-$506535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda48…30fcbacked Yes1c2,551$19 inLost-$18.7660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908f…35a8backed Yes1c2,062$10 inLost-$10.3150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Yes1c2,000$13 inLost-$13.225941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb5…e30dbacked Yes1c2,000$16 inLost-$161315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes1c1,759$12 inLost-$12.072020%4 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4e…d786backed Yes1c1,728$19 inLost-$19425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-63.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b8…762dbacked Yes1c1,499$10 inLost-$10.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa609…8141backed Yes1c1,412$11 inLost-$11.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b4…4161backed Yes2c1,117$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.