TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6113…2443

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Stocks, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+247.4%+$125.75
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$22.74
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$85.82
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$112.29
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$26.46
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$304.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+143%+$61.51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will The MongolZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$54.57
Will paiN Gaming win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$31.41
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100.79
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.79
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.79
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$63.35
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.88
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$13.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.69
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$47.94
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$119.71
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$46.87
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+143%+$64.36
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$8.05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.27
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.36
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.69
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.17
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$90.7
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$346.2
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96.92
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$79.75
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$84.5
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$168.01
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.2
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.3
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$166.91
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40.16
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+72.2%+$38.91
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.19
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$15.17
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$115.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+27.5%+$66.42
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$72.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$217.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$105.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$102.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.