Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x303a2183e1e4ff0ec3eabdce6517883e4e557525b489a9d129ec92a3155d39d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Nigma Galaxy, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 23,061$11,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,056.23 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 21,765$9,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,903.51 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 19,895$9,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,109.27 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 17,398$8,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,580.95 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 15,306$7,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,959.09 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 12,871$6,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,102.68 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 10,722$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.46 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 10,148$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.19 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 9,870$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.05 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 9,694$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 8,838$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.49 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 7,963$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.63 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 7,750$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.74 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 7,494$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.63 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 7,352$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.61 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 7,322$5,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.71 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 7,318$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.22 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 7,263$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 6,070$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 5,573$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.73 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 4,759$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.92 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 4,734$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.4 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 4,658$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.63 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 4,064$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 3,975$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 3,842$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 3,608$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 3,034$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.3 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,950$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.5 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 2,780$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.96 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 2,759$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.04 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 2,743$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.77 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 2,729$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.02 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 2,504$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.71 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 2,497$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.83 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 2,378$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.96 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 2,232$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.81 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 2,207$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.26 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 2,201$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.24 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,041$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 2,006$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.54 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,902$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.9 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,867$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.89 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,861$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,775$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,756$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,678$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,633$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.31 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 1,602$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.51 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,596$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.54 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,566$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.97 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,419$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,415$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.4 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…94f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,409$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,362$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.03 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,350$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.5 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 1,316$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.83 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,282$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.81 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 1,254$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.83 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,251$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,242$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,226$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.55 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,200$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,147$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…8487backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,140$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 1,140$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.84 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,052$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.51 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 1,042$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.92 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,000$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.21 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.4 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,000$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 962.41$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.83 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 930.72$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.21 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 916$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 908.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.69 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 790$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.1 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 765.52$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.52 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 749.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 727.64$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 693.5$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 678.62$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.48 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 637$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 630.16$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.04 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 624.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.