Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3337a185df1ed71336101799a7009a05398cb8d0959f8409df10bd47ee07bc4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Nigma Galaxy, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $569,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 65,766$49,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 53,377$20,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,123.85 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 37,907$8,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,922.29 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 33,448$18,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,994.98 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 26,615$12,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,538.05 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 23,502$13,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,349.02 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 16,909$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,524.74 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 13,552$8,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,425.13 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.72 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 9,480$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,774.96 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 9,401$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 9,222$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.27 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 8,697$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.13 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 8,605$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.69 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 8,517$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2cf8backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 7,952$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 7,778$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 7,165$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.13 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 6,634$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.76 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 6,281$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341.97 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 6,081$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.64 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 6,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 5,905$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.12 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 5,506$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 5,175$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.62 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 5,142$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.45 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 4,940$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.21 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 4,250$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.22 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 4,165$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.85 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 3,742$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.52 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 3,640$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.79 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 3,603$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.48 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 3,500$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 3,468$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 3,279$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.65 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 3,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.99 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 2,982$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.33 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 2,775$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.96 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,600$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.99 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 2,577$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.78 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…fb80backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 2,318$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,472$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,455$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.5 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,400$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,384$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.52 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,346$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,304$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 1,068$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.12 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,052$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.8 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 999.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 936.27$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.61 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 908.73$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.77 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 900$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.47 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 881.39$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.58 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 860.78$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.39 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 856.14$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 837.77$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 837.35$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.02 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 831.31$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.31 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 826.09$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.12 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 805$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.79 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 800.59$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.12 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.04 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 795.47$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 781.17$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.87 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 777.02$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.74 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 735.27$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.24 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 728.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 701.7$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.16 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 694$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 691.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.31 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 653.09$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.91 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 613.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 608.36$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 605.45$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 599.87$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…132fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 578.4$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 545.43$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.72 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 541.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…8487backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 517.02$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 507.11$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.61 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 500.44$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 491.65$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.47 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 490.2$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.