TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3752…2f08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
866
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT34442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 344 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,138.29
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$625
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,806
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$719.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$609
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$624
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$813.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$197.72
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$780
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,011.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$576
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.01
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.43
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$231.81
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$1,056
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$364
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,315.83
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,449
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$732
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,141
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$773
Showing 25 of 344 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT32045.6%146 W · 174 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 320 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+259%+$721.43
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$630
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.27
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.76
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$411.33
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+327.9%+$758.29
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,816Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$684
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$670.94
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.98
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.45
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.44
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.64
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$162
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+183.2%+$648.2
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$604.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$366
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$826
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.19
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$925.13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$672
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$404.26
Showing 25 of 320 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$652.5
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.19
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$854.43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.5
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$622.5
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+191.2%+$978.29
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$323.38
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$286
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,729.17
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$599.24
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.96
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.34
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$588.59
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.83
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.6
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$209.05
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.53
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.7
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$324.22
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$176.4
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$540.59
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$239.2
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$419.98
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$478.39
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.