Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee7d58b8a5ca59c228423923d1025e808e1d91d1c1d126cc1c575234cd517aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BoomBoysof Iron Wing, BoomBoys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,277,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,003,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,277,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed BoomBoys | 59c | 3,339,219$1,984,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355,123.33 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Iron Wing | 40c | 545,815$220,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,753.38 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iron Wing | 42c | 420,695$178,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,275.05 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed BoomBoys | 59c | 351,213$205,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,732.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Iron Wing | 40c | 300,000$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Iron Wing | 41c | 235,000$96,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,899.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Iron Wing | 41c | 188,769$76,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,501.1 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iron Wing | 40c | 172,500$68,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,825 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Iron Wing | 40c | 150,000$59,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,500 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Iron Wing | 52c | 136,198$71,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,310.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Iron Wing | 28c | 110,309$31,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,111.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Iron Wing | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…a801backed Iron Wing | 41c | 99,902$40,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,959.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Iron Wing | 41c | 95,702$39,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,702.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 95,001$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,600.3 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 62c | 92,450$57,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,792.53 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Iron Wing | 41c | 80,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Iron Wing | 36c | 78,450$28,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,051.19 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Iron Wing | 41c | 75,903$30,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,963.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Iron Wing | 41c | 69,621$28,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,544.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Iron Wing | 41c | 68,557$28,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,108.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed BoomBoys | 70c | 66,782$46,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,956.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 43c | 58,707$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 47,000$19,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,510 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Iron Wing | 40c | 45,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Iron Wing | 41c | 44,647$18,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,305.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Iron Wing | 65c | 44,628$28,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,910.13 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Iron Wing | 42c | 44,444$18,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,444.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed BoomBoys | 60c | 43,986$26,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,596.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Iron Wing | 40c | 43,888$17,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,721.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Iron Wing | 48c | 43,750$20,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,906.74 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Iron Wing | 19c | 43,547$8,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,283.42 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Iron Wing | 41c | 43,333$17,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,566.29 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed BoomBoys | 73c | 42,149$30,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,206.15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Iron Wing | 41c | 41,365$16,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,929 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Iron Wing | 40c | 41,260$16,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,503.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed Iron Wing | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Iron Wing | 41c | 35,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Iron Wing | 41c | 35,000$14,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,350 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed BoomBoys | 65c | 34,196$22,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,930.32 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Iron Wing | 41c | 34,142$13,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,891.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Iron Wing | 44c | 31,612$14,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,013.85 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Iron Wing | 42c | 30,740$12,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,932.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Iron Wing | 41c | 30,048$12,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,169.41 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc47…0efdbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Iron Wing | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Iron Wing | 57c | 30,000$17,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,019.99 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Iron Wing | 69c | 30,000$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,699.97 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Iron Wing | 29c | 29,542$8,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,603.48 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Iron Wing | 44c | 27,328$11,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,932.58 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Iron Wing | 42c | 27,146$11,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,394.38 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Iron Wing | 37c | 26,628$9,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,916.86 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed BoomBoys | 75c | 26,442$19,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,538.83 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Iron Wing | 40c | 25,494$10,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,197.57 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Iron Wing | 43c | 25,355$11,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,002.44 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Iron Wing | 37c | 25,164$9,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,326.87 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Iron Wing | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…aa1abacked Iron Wing | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Iron Wing | 41c | 24,000$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed BoomBoys | 59c | 23,852$13,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,890.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Iron Wing | 58c | 23,834$13,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,897.37 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Iron Wing | 43c | 23,769$10,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,107.4 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Iron Wing | 44c | 23,609$10,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,273.62 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 23,600$11,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,404 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked BoomBoys | 57c | 22,771$13,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,681.63 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed Iron Wing | 42c | 22,620$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Iron Wing | 41c | 22,150$9,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,009.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Iron Wing | 42c | 21,980$9,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,231.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed BoomBoys | 65c | 21,887$14,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,769.78 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Iron Wing | 38c | 21,348$8,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040.94 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Iron Wing | 41c | 20,752$8,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 20,000$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Iron Wing | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked Iron Wing | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed Iron Wing | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed BoomBoys | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.98 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Iron Wing | 51c | 19,472$9,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,839.49 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked BoomBoys | 74c | 18,511$13,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.59 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Iron Wing | 40c | 18,375$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…b397backed Iron Wing | 39c | 17,500$6,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,825 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Iron Wing | 35c | 17,224$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.31 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Iron Wing | 44c | 17,100$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595.07 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Iron Wing | 20c | 17,068$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.48 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Iron Wing | 41c | 16,947$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.43 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 16,811$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,138.87 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Iron Wing | 41c | 16,758$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,867.11 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Iron Wing | 41c | 16,262$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,611.86 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Iron Wing | 42c | 16,020$6,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,728.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Iron Wing | 41c | 15,820$6,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,444.66 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Iron Wing | 41c | 15,799$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Iron Wing | 39c | 15,382$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.33 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Iron Wing | 58c | 15,299$8,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,835.94 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed BoomBoys | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Iron Wing | 40c | 14,240$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…240dbacked Iron Wing | 42c | 13,347$5,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,554.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…b04cbacked Iron Wing | 44c | 13,300$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Iron Wing | 38c | 13,032$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed BoomBoys | 60c | 13,026$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.46 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Iron Wing | 41c | 13,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed Iron Wing | 42c | 12,821$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)Iron Wing won
- Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)BoomBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.