Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa641431c9ade1db434775b6f49d2b2bac845082f5d7cb85feaea534b45f2c726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iron Wingof Iron Wing, BoomBoys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,018,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,131,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,018,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 593 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed BoomBoys | 46c | 102,194$46,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,987.27 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Iron Wing | 54c | 60,715$32,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,928.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iron Wing | 69c | 44,957$30,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,108.8 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked BoomBoys | 54c | 42,840$23,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,040.64 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 47c | 31,915$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,914.89 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 46c | 25,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,400 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing | 42c | 22,629$9,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,166.93 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed BoomBoys | 65c | 20,424$13,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,226.63 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 17,980$9,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,529.5 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iron Wing | 46c | 16,198$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,747.19 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Iron Wing | 56c | 16,056$8,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,064.47 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Iron Wing | 49c | 15,530$7,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,973.03 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Iron Wing | 53c | 14,687$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.27 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked BoomBoys | 22c | 14,217$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.56 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Iron Wing | 37c | 11,687$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,340.3 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Iron Wing | 54c | 11,500$6,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.37 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked BoomBoys | 44c | 11,336$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.73 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BoomBoys | 38c | 10,737$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.51 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Iron Wing | 66c | 10,587$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.85 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed BoomBoys | 52c | 10,576$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.51 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Iron Wing | 48c | 10,021$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.83 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed BoomBoys | 49c | 9,854$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.26 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed BoomBoys | 3c | 7,811$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Iron Wing | 66c | 7,624$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.34 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked BoomBoys | 34c | 7,353$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed Iron Wing | 47c | 7,295$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.45 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Iron Wing | 72c | 7,160$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.74 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked BoomBoys | 38c | 7,061$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Iron Wing | 51c | 7,050$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.93 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Iron Wing | 54c | 7,028$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.92 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed BoomBoys | 34c | 7,000$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.18 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Iron Wing | 54c | 6,852$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.85 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed BoomBoys | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed BoomBoys | 33c | 6,449$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked BoomBoys | 36c | 6,077$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.15 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Iron Wing | 65c | 5,867$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.97 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Iron Wing | 74c | 5,597$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.44 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed BoomBoys | 58c | 5,560$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.72 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Iron Wing | 47c | 5,428$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.98 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked BoomBoys | 44c | 5,325$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.66 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Iron Wing | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed BoomBoys | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed BoomBoys | 63c | 4,881$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 4,867$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.87 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked BoomBoys | 18c | 4,820$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.89 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed BoomBoys | 38c | 4,614$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed BoomBoys | 12c | 4,507$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.01 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked BoomBoys | 51c | 4,479$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.87 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked BoomBoys | 17c | 4,347$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BoomBoys | 60c | 4,273$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.37 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked BoomBoys | 49c | 4,215$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.37 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed BoomBoys | 2c | 4,094$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed BoomBoys | 63c | 4,000$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Iron Wing | 54c | 3,934$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.73 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Iron Wing | 52c | 3,930$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.64 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed BoomBoys | 61c | 3,900$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.4 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…361fbacked BoomBoys | 29c | 3,886$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BoomBoys | 41c | 3,731$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.5 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed BoomBoys | 20c | 3,617$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.38 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked BoomBoys | 6c | 3,500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…1e8cbacked Iron Wing | 80c | 3,265$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.98 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked BoomBoys | 18c | 3,115$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.75 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…5905backed BoomBoys | 49c | 3,050$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed BoomBoys | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked BoomBoys | 33c | 2,976$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked BoomBoys | 51c | 2,964$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.87 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed BoomBoys | 55c | 2,777$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.16 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed BoomBoys | 28c | 2,735$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.55 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Iron Wing | 76c | 2,633$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.4 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked BoomBoys | 58c | 2,605$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.23 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed BoomBoys | 0c | 2,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed BoomBoys | 38c | 2,472$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.37 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed BoomBoys | 67c | 2,460$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.47 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed BoomBoys | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed BoomBoys | 49c | 2,290$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.1 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BoomBoys | 25c | 2,289$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.7 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked BoomBoys | 18c | 2,266$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed BoomBoys | 30c | 2,211$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.89 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked BoomBoys | 55c | 2,075$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.23 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked BoomBoys | 58c | 2,050$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…f0e5backed Iron Wing | 41c | 2,040$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.7 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d7…17e6backed BoomBoys | 29c | 1,988$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed BoomBoys | 3c | 1,958$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 1,900$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…3ce0backed BoomBoys | 44c | 1,859$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.72 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…d335backed BoomBoys | 55c | 1,856$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Iron Wing | 47c | 1,815$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.83 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Iron Wing | 49c | 1,813$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.46 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked BoomBoys | 9c | 1,800$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…61efbacked BoomBoys | 67c | 1,752$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed BoomBoys | 31c | 1,686$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.48 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked BoomBoys | 37c | 1,675$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed BoomBoys | 60c | 1,634$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.64 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed Iron Wing | 78c | 1,630$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.75 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked BoomBoys | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed BoomBoys | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Iron Wing | 61c | 1,580$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed BoomBoys | 60c | 1,570$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked BoomBoys | 42c | 1,552$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.97 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…7b67backed BoomBoys | 30c | 1,512$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)Iron Wing won
- Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)BoomBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.