TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6a9…e35a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
283
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT9558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia: Julia Grabher vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,759Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$4,633.45
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,883.76
US Open, Qualification ATP: Braden Shick vs Clement Taburbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,899Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,000.8
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikoribacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,515
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,957Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$2,626.96
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,493Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,497
US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broadybacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,468Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$4,004.11
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,337.14
Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,502Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$399.28
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$90.37
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$439.93
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,528.81
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,187.15
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,761.98
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,885Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$4,186.02
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensikbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$912.62
Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.22
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,813Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$5,352.69
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,036.36
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,560.07
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geertsbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,121.9
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,546Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,889.56
National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlekbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.01
National Bank Open: Aoi Ito vs Katherine Sebovbacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,697Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,101.56
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5455.6%30 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.05
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,088Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$2,411.51
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$604.32
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$387.33
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$1,518.56
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,371
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,220.72
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$1,528.7
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$986
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,828Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,146.94
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$60
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.05
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.49
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.16
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070.27
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,405.09
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.71
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+156%+$1,197.73
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$317.87
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$2,145.45
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+155%+$2,074.26
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.39
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,035.08
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$4,039.95
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$367.76
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138%+$3,370.75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$1,237.94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,973Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$5,917.59
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,027.61
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.36
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$758.56
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,389.83
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$695.79
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.46
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.31
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,966.79
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,994
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.35
Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$588.73
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.37
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$829.74
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.86
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,235.34
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,958.07
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,265.66
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,344
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,782Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$3,086.76
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,826Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$2,060
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,810.34
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.19
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,862Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$3,190.82
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,943Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$2,688.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+222.8%+$2,092.05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$1,147.79
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$781.39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,299Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$3,088.03
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$2,440.54
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$1,078.2
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,716.61
Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Bbacked Midas Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$472
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.76
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.99
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$972
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+462.2%+$596.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$1,077.92
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$1,121.95
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$354.07
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$606.87
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,910
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$925
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$3,378.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+872.3%+$4,361.37
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.5
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$983
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$595
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$22.68
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsbacked Atrix Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.72
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$786.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$800.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$644
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,799Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,265.27
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$408.45
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.5%+$754.91
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$5,473.73
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,687.93
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$388.32
All 7 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$898.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$1,836.76
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$282.88
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,004.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacific Tigers vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+102.1%+$1,049.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+64.5%+$403.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.