TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Miami vs. Ole Miss

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miamiof Miami, Ole Miss
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,932,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,983,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,932,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,074 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami61c1,191,435$726,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465,077.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Ole Miss39c800,000$311,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,1503345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Miami61c596,250$366,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,90321055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Ole Miss40c370,000$146,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,425.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ole Miss32c308,315$99,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,286.1216234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Ole Miss39c279,423$108,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,780.9132745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Miami61c279,012$169,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,495.363857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Ole Miss39c256,477$100,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0263951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Ole Miss38c157,078$60,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,349.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ole Miss36c96,733$34,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,711.1768440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Ole Miss39c65,760$25,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,788.851618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Ole Miss40c65,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Miami62c60,000$37,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,799.969750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Miami61c52,527$31,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,674.076838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Ole Miss39c50,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,5006046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Miami49c46,432$22,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,663.4910848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Ole Miss53c44,648$23,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,699.31283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+79.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Miami62c39,346$24,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,930.3320450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Miami64c39,335$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,335.162763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Ole Miss31c33,287$10,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,289.422040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Miami62c32,222$19,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,244.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ole Miss39c29,099$11,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,339.9626244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Ole Miss40c28,001$11,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,200.521822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Miami61c27,897$17,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,879.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Ole Miss36c27,212$9,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,830.8513933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ole Miss36c24,509$8,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,752.512548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Ole Miss39c24,348$9,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,495.717545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Miami67c23,908$16,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,897.2458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Miami61c23,821$14,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,290.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ole Miss39c22,480$8,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,872.8839954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ole Miss28c22,212$6,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,213.064841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Miami73c22,194$16,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,934.691145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Miami61c21,886$13,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4704841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked Miami60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Ole Miss39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8005064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Ole Miss40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Miami62c19,812$12,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,609.9511849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Miami61c19,501$11,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,563.82055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Ole Miss29c19,310$5,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,626.2724229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Miami56c17,767$10,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,740.93357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Miami60c16,182$9,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,438.332152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Miami62c15,500$9,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8905957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Miami69c15,311$10,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.881883.3%15 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+57.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Ole Miss30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Ole Miss39c14,500$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.4519849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4536…4237backed Miami71c14,083$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…eb89backed Ole Miss40c13,824$5,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,503.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami58c13,502$7,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,700.3962843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2655…4b29backed Miami60c13,432$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,434.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Ole Miss39c13,000$5,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,094.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Miami72c11,722$8,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.261361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Ole Miss38c11,614$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,413.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Miami61c11,475$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.413036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x01fb…ae3ebacked Ole Miss40c11,250$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Miami62c11,074$6,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.78100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Ole Miss40c11,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.948236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Miami70c10,798$7,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.783959%23 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Ole Miss39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f62…4123backed Ole Miss28c10,000$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Ole Miss29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Ole Miss39c9,925$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss36c9,725$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.9140244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Miami61c9,688$5,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.431656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Miami72c9,607$6,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.8413149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Miami65c9,448$6,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.73056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Ole Miss38c9,392$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,586.975446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Ole Miss54c9,248$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f37ebacked Ole Miss41c9,146$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Ole Miss40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9938546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Miami62c8,889$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Miami68c8,858$6,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.391546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Ole Miss39c8,603$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Miami61c8,549$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Miami59c8,519$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Miami59c8,260$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,376.8620553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Miami61c8,197$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Ole Miss39c8,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1203060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Ole Miss39c8,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1204429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ole Miss39c7,245$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.6655350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e14…2266backed Ole Miss31c7,154$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Miami38c7,000$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.121040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Miami58c6,878$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Ole Miss41c6,746$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.371060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…f223backed Ole Miss42c6,691$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe373…71aebacked Ole Miss44c6,581$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde1…c3a4backed Ole Miss32c6,441$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Miami47c6,332$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.983855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Ole Miss32c6,331$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.153920.5%8 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Ole Miss39c6,290$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Ole Miss39c6,000$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Miami66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…d95bbacked Ole Miss42c5,771$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.551323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ole Miss42c5,673$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.7286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Ole Miss40c5,500$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked Miami63c5,423$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Miami61c5,400$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Miami60c5,029$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.621172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Miami60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Miami60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.055152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Ole Miss39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.