College Football · resolved market
Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53950c9f6f47fc9ed541cee311ec5bc8f9493ac290591b1ff9e3ca69331f340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 49c | 83,088$40,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,996.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 77,973$39,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,206.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 34,368$16,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,840.1 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 20,503$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,193.24 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 50c | 15,956$7,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,978 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 15,527$7,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,851.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Under | 50c | 6,280$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Under | 51c | 3,941$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 3,391$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.55 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…3800backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 61c | 2,796$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.25 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Under | 52c | 2,037$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 876.67$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Under | 50c | 648.14$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Over | 51c | 550.05$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 460$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 40c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Under | 52c | 383.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 49c | 218.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Over | 51c | 191.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 186.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8928backed Over | 52c | 186.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x803b…608abacked Under | 49c | 181.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 181.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 137.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…c652backed Under | 49c | 101.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Over | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Under | 47c | 85.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…6709backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…d0f9backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 52c | 49.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 49c | 40.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Under | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 50c | 37.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over | 52c | 32.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 27.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…c163backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Under | 52c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…d04cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 52.5this page
- Miami vs. Ole MissMiami won
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: 1H MoneylineMiami won
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (-3.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.