TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

O/U 51.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under48c103,316$49,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,5002763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c62,316$32,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,911.7616234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under46c12,625$5,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,847.3529249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c11,253$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,350.562,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over56c9,048$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,982.0629055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.9938546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over54c5,767$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.864429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c5,400$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.4848546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a14…fddabacked Under47c4,265$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Over55c4,029$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over43c2,378$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.6126244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over61c2,100$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under74c2,019$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.715137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.041861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over26c1,878$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.6410047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.1649253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over39c1,439$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.456966.7%46 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c1,415$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9838450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over11c1,170$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.563748.6%18 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+72.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c1,000$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45811142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under44c579.82$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.431936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under65c540$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Under8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.49per pick14cpaid+322.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under48c452.68$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9452449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Under47c425.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under50c418.22$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.192114.3%3 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-72.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over52c388$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.444143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under35c354$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6963243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over54c312.02$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302055%11 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.26per pick29cpaid+242.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8e0a…69d3backed Under67c255$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.641560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over54c237.51$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.268100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under46c236.02$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.571553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over60c234.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.44047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over55c230.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Over53c225.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.322763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over54c210.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.265945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7e22backed Over67c199.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-81.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over40c197.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bc…a812backed Over56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5729351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over48c167.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.487443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8058850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Over42c159.21$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.941030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over45c155.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under67c150.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1420553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under64c150.16$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5126940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed16…916ebacked Over26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.15560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+93%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over40c148.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5526939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under30c147.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1212346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under72c139.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Over55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.364042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Under45c130.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.871741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over53c129.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6110850.9%55 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under46c126$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.961070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under25c118.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.554841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e2…2c72backed Under47c105.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0732…c290backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Under11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa236…7c7ebacked Over55c98.42$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9110342.7%44 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf1c…c085backed Over55c90.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.74240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404951%25 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Under48c81.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.784037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc923…5f12backed Over55c76.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…6779backed Over55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over55c72.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Under54c66.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over34c61.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Under52c61.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over37c60.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.732910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c3…5e28backed Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under44c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.761850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Over53c48.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8910046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over35c45.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc992…6f2cbacked Over55c45.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.643751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-62.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1600…9236backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…59cfbacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.