TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf064…54a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$70.79
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$105.11
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$64
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.77
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.12
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$51.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.26
Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.04
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$40.32
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.56
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.56
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.51
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$38.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$48.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$38.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$35.8
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$33.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.14
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.46
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.04
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.24
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.42
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.22
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.76
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.18
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$56.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$51.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+143.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+82%+$32.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$48.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.