TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,387,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,505,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,387,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 723 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked NRG41c517,259$214,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214,002.5142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked M8060c132,498$80,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,383.511758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed NRG38c107,006$40,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,697.1810142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked M8057c69,624$39,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,738.4114050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG41c60,945$25,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,005.135,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed M8062c53,320$33,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,261.4625255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed M8058c52,756$30,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,985.1141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed M8059c47,888$28,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,634.191283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed M8059c40,000$23,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,40033043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed M8059c40,000$23,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,30016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed M8060c40,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,999.9950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed M8057c36,234$20,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,526.9617951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked M8060c36,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4003053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NRG37c30,031$11,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,240.8736453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed M8059c30,000$17,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,30010361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed M8058c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,60020153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked M8069c25,418$17,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,921.3721655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked M8057c25,000$14,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,75075452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked M8060c21,037$12,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,425.0275758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked M8059c19,466$11,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,981.0638358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NRG24c18,325$4,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.151,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG32c17,513$5,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,688.492,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed M8059c16,864$9,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,914.0822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed M8058c16,665$9,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,054.8415052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed M8070c15,695$10,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed NRG42c15,460$6,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,493.3233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NRG40c15,000$5,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,97567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed M8061c13,500$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.993351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed NRG41c11,185$4,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,554.0223848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked M8057c9,852$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.963262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed M8057c8,772$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.9333359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed M8058c8,630$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.5919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x611f…b58fbacked M8058c8,264$4,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,470.881827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8076c8,034$6,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.794,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed NRG41c8,000$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2809551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed M8060c7,777$4,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG19c7,564$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.81,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c6…73a7backed M8058c7,300$4,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed M8058c6,897$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.5519055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed NRG41c6,856$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.8884658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked NRG17c6,535$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.2829127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked M8056c6,532$3,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.077250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked M8059c6,050$3,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.4719757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked M8058c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5207055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed M8058c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked M8071c5,693$4,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.732542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a94…8f9dbacked M8058c5,373$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked M8061c5,209$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.6916343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked M8058c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked M8058c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed M8065c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7502564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfc…1818backed M8058c4,639$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5667…8ca3backed M8066c4,572$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.492454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed NRG15c4,464$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.621854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked M8064c4,429$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.711,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8059c4,379$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.421,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed NRG40c4,225$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.8166551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG41c3,659$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed M8062c3,600$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed NRG41c3,487$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.712253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed M8058c3,400$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.996245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked M8061c3,376$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.4822449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG25c3,215$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.996,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed NRG36c3,215$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked M8060c3,200$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed M8058c3,143$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8059c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked M8059c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba55…41f1backed M8057c2,995$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.852142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed NRG43c2,906$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.5860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked NRG41c2,877$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.5710136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed M8059c2,713$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.2448350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x314c…975fbacked M8080c2,575$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.445971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed M8074c2,563$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.3928453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked M8058c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9910449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed NRG42c2,485$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.071,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked M8066c2,465$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.821,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked NRG23c2,448$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2136440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed NRG41c2,416$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.5613049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed NRG42c2,300$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9667751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed M8066c2,283$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6819659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NRG35c2,205$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.691,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked M8058c2,200$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9242642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked M8078c2,120$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.813,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed M8060c2,096$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.722,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb526…a7e6backed M8058c2,094$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked NRG43c2,040$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.25453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d7…5b28backed M8058c2,011$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.62977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5020…36fcbacked M8060c2,007$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.734961.2%30 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked M8058c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked M8059c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe0…ee7ebacked M8058c1,969$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.981070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5065…a6bebacked M8058c1,956$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.521070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed NRG41c1,951$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80034848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M8064c1,948$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.375,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed M8056c1,944$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.177363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked M8060c1,936$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.3613371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15f5…9028backed M8058c1,936$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.12977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d9c…4182backed M8058c1,924$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed M8059c1,916$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.719157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.