TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79be…b605

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.95
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,076.92
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$84.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,973.78
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$4,158.48
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,377.97
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,473.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,444.25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,966.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,856.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,122
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$833.06
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$3,809.23
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$4,124.7
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,044.97
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$208.22
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,149.95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$3,358.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$1,047.07
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,748.89
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+102%+$1,682.75
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$1,607.93
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+144%+$8,179.19
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135.36
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.74
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$3,693.65
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.87
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.34
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.86
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$243.44
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.65
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.63
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$404.19
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$331.04
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$1,095.89
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+651.9%+$658.85
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$524.85
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$451.69
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.87
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$494
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,835
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$2,821.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,668Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,365.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,738.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.