Fifa International · resolved market
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b4274b2052081e066f5dc51acad17af423aa48c94bad2db57e9dc71d817b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900.2 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 9,792$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.94 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 31c | 8,919$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.99 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed No | 0c | 7,045$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 48c | 5,942$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.2 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 14c | 5,933$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.58 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 13c | 4,858$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.18 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,070$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 60c | 1,794$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.76 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 28c | 1,680$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.12 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.67 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 12c | 1,645$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.21 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 58c | 1,623$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.45 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 12c | 1,613$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.9 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 1,304$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.08 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 1,100$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.1 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.33 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.33 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 13c | 930.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.23 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 48c | 889.65$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.19 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 31c | 876.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.97 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed Yes | 13c | 759.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Yes | 13c | 751.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.88 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 58c | 728.28$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 60c | 653.79$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 28c | 557$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.97 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 63c | 511.64$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.29 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 60c | 500.45$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 11c | 499.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.47 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 5c | 456.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 43c | 448.85$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed Yes | 75c | 410.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 13c | 400$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.84 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 22c | 356.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.43 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…3888backed Yes | 43c | 350.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 13c | 263.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…6ce7backed Yes | 39c | 253.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Yes | 40c | 249.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 13c | 240$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 5c | 231.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 61c | 205.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 51c | 196.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 158.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 44c | 158.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Yes | 63c | 154.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 42c | 153.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…1604backed Yes | 40c | 138.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…8c99backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1e…790cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…afacbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…33f3backed Yes | 45c | 115.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 109.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes | 37c | 108.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes | 14c | 107.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…7b34backed Yes | 36c | 106.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3ae9backed Yes | 48c | 104.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…7a32backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…2b31backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…b82bbacked Yes | 13c | 98.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…389fbacked Yes | 42c | 95.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 59c | 88.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 12c | 82.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…4c99backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 39c | 73.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 42c | 72.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…e68bbacked Yes | 46c | 64.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…3209backed Yes | 44c | 56.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…e5bebacked Yes | 37c | 54.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf65a…c8fbbacked Yes | 24c | 45.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…cfffbacked Yes | 45c | 44.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes | 46c | 43.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f1…37e8backed Yes | 43c | 29.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 42c | 26.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 60c | 24.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…6636backed No | 67c | 19.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsthis page
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 2+ assistsNo won
- Gabriel Martinelli: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 5+ shotsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 2+ shotsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ shotsNo won
- Rayan: 1+ assistsYes won
- Rayan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ assistsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 2+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 2+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 3+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 5+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.