Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe9c78fd416aeca1efd9a689f5b86f32d463a62f7457a2eb75a01f2bf1702e1d

Rebuilt 53 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,164 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x60c9…9e8abacked Yes	35c	13,678$4,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,860.53	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	65c	6,131$3,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,996.63	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No	67c	5,000$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,349.96	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	52c	4,736$2,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,485.92	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	64c	3,810$2,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,438.62	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Yes	33c	3,024$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,023.96	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes	33c	2,330$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560.84	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.98	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	68c	1,794$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.82	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	45c	1,728$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946.07	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes	34c	1,441$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.18	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	68c	1,341$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.27	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed No	68c	1,323$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.49	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	65c	978$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.7	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No	65c	808$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.2	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes	33c	609.65$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.01	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes	34c	571.21$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No	65c	552.43$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.61	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	33c	539.99$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.59	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	67c	455.19$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.98	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebda…5208backed Yes	35c	405.46$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.46	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	53c	319.83$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.05	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75f5…6070backed Yes	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7477…e718backed Yes	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	84	31%26 W · 58 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No	66c	299.96$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.97	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Yes	35c	285.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.71	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	65c	249.99$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.49	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	5c	206.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes	35c	199.34$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.57	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No	65c	184.87$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.17	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	65c	170.11$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.57	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	152	26.3%40 W · 112 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa068…1dfbbacked No	67c	149.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.49	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No	66c	149.93$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.96	151	77.5%117 W · 34 L	+13.1wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Yes	32c	125$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes	32c	125$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	189	42.3%80 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	32c	120.06$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.79	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes	32c	109.38$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.38	179	33.5%60 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	67c	104$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.68	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	157	27.4%43 W · 114 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dd…2297backed Yes	51c	97.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+5.6wins	+0.25per pick	47cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	35c	93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.99	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257d…6f86backed No	66c	89.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.39	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Yes	34c	88.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.63	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c0…75dbbacked Yes	34c	88.24$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	35c	80$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	254	37.4%95 W · 159 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	67c	75.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8071…b139backed Yes	33c	74.88$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.88	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	66c	66$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.56	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	165	35.2%58 W · 107 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f25…2318backed Yes	32c	61.93$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.93	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes	41c	60.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.98	235	44.7%105 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0899…0507backed Yes	32c	59.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.38	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9996…72a8backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	242	56.6%137 W · 105 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa03b…7483backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	97	55.7%54 W · 43 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8552…3d6dbacked Yes	31c	52.53$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.23	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	37c	50.35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.92	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes	33c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	189	47.6%90 W · 99 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes	34c	49.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.99	177	27.1%48 W · 129 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…105dbacked No	69c	43.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes	38c	36.25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.45	132	68.2%90 W · 42 L	+20.0wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf07f…4abcbacked Yes	34c	35.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.29	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	70c	35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	68c	35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2186…271bbacked Yes	35c	34.54$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	70.4%57 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	75cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee83…c9ecbacked Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbbb…95ddbacked Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a55…3072backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7112…ebb9backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	65c	30.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked No	67c	26.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…066ebacked Yes	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No	68c	16.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	184	73.4%135 W · 49 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	71cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbc…1b63backed No	67c	16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fd…3968backed No	67c	16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	67c	15.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event