TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2dd…2297

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 63 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT7354.8%40 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.13
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.19
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$26.59
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.82
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$26.76
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.33
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$31.31
Lehecka vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$20.66
Jiri Lehecka vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$54.36
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+149%+$387.31
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.45
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.79
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.61
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$55.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+67.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96%+$47.99
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$28.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+125.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.