Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef90ee43f7bb504bb08ad79ad3237f07d96d1e76cceb29880f5bb6ddc8b59ef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Minaur, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blockx | 47c | 3,071$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.82 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Minaur | 51c | 2,250$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.5 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Minaur | 54c | 1,623$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.41 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Minaur | 52c | 1,560$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.82 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blockx | 47c | 1,043$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.21 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Blockx | 48c | 645.86$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.01 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Blockx | 38c | 544.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.67 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Blockx | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Blockx | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minaur | 56c | 323.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Blockx | 51c | 286.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…e5a1backed Blockx | 45c | 271.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Blockx | 45c | 261.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Minaur | 60c | 260.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Minaur | 55c | 226.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Minaur | 52c | 187.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Blockx | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…21e7backed Minaur | 60c | 172.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…c9b5backed Blockx | 72c | 171.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Minaur | 48c | 141.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Minaur | 55c | 132.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Minaur | 55c | 130.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…f3e8backed Minaur | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Blockx | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Minaur | 65c | 110.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blockx | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Minaur | 64c | 88.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Blockx | 42c | 62.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Minaur | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…e77cbacked Minaur | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Blockx | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Minaur | 52c | 42.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Minaur | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Blockx | 45c | 30.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Blockx | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Minaur | 46c | 29.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Minaur | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Blockx | 45c | 26.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Blockx | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…2123backed Minaur | 53c | 19.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Blockx vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Blockx vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Blockx vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs MinaurMinaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.