Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa95e2799023a2c4bf59e3f0941fdfd3c3c761b1bb95d64b8c8746e505a74ec9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Blockx, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blockx | 30c | 679.21$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Minaur | 70c | 451.83$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Blockx | 41c | 350.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Minaur | 51c | 300.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Minaur | 70c | 280.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minaur | 53c | 177.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blockx | 32c | 162.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Blockx | 45c | 123.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Blockx | 57c | 112.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Blockx | 47c | 111.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Minaur | 59c | 110.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Minaur | 58c | 99.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Minaur | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Blockx | 56c | 87.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blockx | 43c | 76.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Minaur | 69c | 68.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Minaur | 68c | 64.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Minaur | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Minaur | 64c | 50.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minaur | 53c | 49.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minaur | 46c | 30.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Minaur | 69c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…8494backed Minaur | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Blockx | 45c | 25.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minaur | 50c | 22.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs Minaurthis page
- Alexander Blockx vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Blockx vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Blockx vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.