Tennis · resolved market
Alexander Blockx vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6355c6996e112ed1483e9b0495e7c0975b67d613e10e566af5b87a55fa49ec33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 2,814$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.82 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 1,742$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.88 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Under 2.5 | 63c | 931.27$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 50c | 605.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under 2.5 | 66c | 497.07$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over 2.5 | 56c | 342.15$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…592dbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 296.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…e5a1backed Over 2.5 | 38c | 273.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Over 2.5 | 49c | 198.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 2.5 | 71c | 194.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Over 2.5 | 56c | 174.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 2.5 | 62c | 134.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over 2.5 | 38c | 125.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over 2.5 | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 89.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Under 2.5 | 64c | 85.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over 2.5 | 48c | 58.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over 2.5 | 30c | 54.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…8494backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 48.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 47.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under 2.5 | 66c | 43.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over 2.5 | 60c | 32.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Under 2.5 | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexander Blockx vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Blockx vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Blockx vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.