TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbef…0c11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
923
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT67757.6%390 W · 287 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 677 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$168.75
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Mees Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgrenbacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Winston-Salem Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Winston-Salem Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$303.69
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Sion: Mika Brunold vs Calvin Hemerybacked Mika Brunold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Sion: Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnuccibacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$157.39
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$137.51
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolrasbacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Prague 2: Florian Broska vs Sean Cueninbacked Sean Cuenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 677 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT7861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$230.59
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
World Championships: Norway vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechiabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$113.33
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$99.05
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austriabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
World Championships: Finland vs. USAbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$51.76
World Championships: Austria vs. Hungarybacked Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechiabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$81.68
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Norwaybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$55.06
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$255.74
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$49.59
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5066%33 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$239.56
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$101.34
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$120.27
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+32%+$64.03
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$119.06
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.28
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT4360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$170.28
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$222.19
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$59.44
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$255.14
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$104.99
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$50.1
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.47
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$81.59
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$39.87
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2576%19 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,408.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$415.57
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+50%+$150.09
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$949.53
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$374.71
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$591.62
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$25.07
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.67
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.29
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.73
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+39%+$77.92
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$130.28
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.51
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.16
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.92
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$41.28
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$55.86
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$50.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.