TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over46c112,581$51,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,844.3410450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c28,378$13,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,721.564,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under55c18,032$9,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,917.4415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under53c17,995$9,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,534.171450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c12,325$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,630.0883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over47c12,013$5,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,366.867656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c9,475$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,157.792,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189a…4765backed Under52c8,177$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,251.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under46c7,601$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under53c7,368$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.613645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under33c5,382$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.22748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over48c4,855$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.3714250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c4,342$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.261,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.1520054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c4,081$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.373,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over48c4,057$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.872962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under57c3,897$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.1815952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under52c3,735$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.41573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c3,722$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.7513054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c3,247$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under52c2,667$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c2,575$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.3340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c2,400$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.8664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Over42c2,298$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.91457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0407553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over44c2,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+66.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over48c1,890$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.0222448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c1,852$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over73c1,720$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under58c1,681$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.83525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c1,543$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.261,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under52c1,494$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over47c1,447$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.896546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6057851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under55c1,081$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6622446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over44c1,057$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.188251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3b…7928backed Over43c1,003$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under55c968.65$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over48c739.8$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under53c727.88$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.782060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Under33c727.12$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over48c700.2$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.16962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under7c699.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under52c646$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.921942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under16c622.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.613740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c620.19$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under52c581.42$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.367439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under53c550.08$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under56c486.8$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.61875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over43c461.45$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2611636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over42c459.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.581070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under55c438.95$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.429528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over47c426.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2619358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under53c400.81$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7323957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c367.86$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3232645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.363743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over45c359.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.843351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under53c338.2$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.414245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c336.96$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over58c336.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.255547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under53c308.06$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2711741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b3b…f353backed Under32c284.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1460%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c269.24$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6912875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Over76c259.37$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.255250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c254.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over58c252.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.974544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over55c247.5$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.379423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c240.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0127758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under58c238.07$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.083834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under55c204.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.545450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over49c202$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.022759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over45c195$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.255032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under43c193.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.062040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over42c189.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1314146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3bb…8b3ebacked Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f0…c0f5backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under52c185.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1520050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c185.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1433161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under12c181.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Over47c176.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.811070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under54c156.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.356460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under53c155.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.62948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under49c152.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9626154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under53c145.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8410348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over69c142.63$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.512373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under59c134.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under11c132.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.622050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over45c132.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.121060%6 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d6…bfd6backed Under52c128.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c118.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.