TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c8,077$4,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.583,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Over58c7,047$4,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0787844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c6,745$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.384,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over45c4,992$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c3,559$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.4583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c5…f860backed Over14c2,643$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over31c2,523$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.763438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over21c1,358$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9617731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Over39c984.4$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c903.91$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over25c699.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under43c649.11$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9910245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over40c642.12$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.413839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Under76c632.43$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over23c622.04$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0717128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Under66c593.7$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.861650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Over38c588$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Under62c552.12$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c453.03$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under77c437.79$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.31,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c374.56$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.357440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under66c346.1$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6420241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over25c341.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3148251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under60c321.46$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over32c319.71$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.913237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0299…5f02backed Over16c310.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.261450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a2…a105backed Under56c304.01$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Under75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.67540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under69c235.49$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8723957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under64c221.75$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8241751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over23c212.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over26c164.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.069528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over25c153.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.395547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over33c144.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0933161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked Under70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over28c135.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4416040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.465955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Under79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2513668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over23c123.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8238748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under58c123$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8910851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Over45c108.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.58742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c108.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.831,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under65c105.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.842748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under80c104.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9513251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.044544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked Under45c93.76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.572470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over52c93.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.615724.6%14 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258843.2%38 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under45c91.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.111233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Under37c91.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over26c90.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.949228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under62c90.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.232326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xae94…438cbacked Over33c88.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over49c84.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.764047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over25c70.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…3578backed Over28c68.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ecb…1243backed Under60c65.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under36c62.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+66.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over34c59.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0320253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over56c59.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3124757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over32c53.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.272020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under55c51.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2127758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over31c50.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.375133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x846d…d14fbacked Under79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under75c49.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3117455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over23c46.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.692445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over55c41.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.984252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under43c39.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3445841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed Over31c37.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.363842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over32c32.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.555543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under69c31.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under69c29.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.174548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over40c28.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.572544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Under75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.576453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under75c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.927454.1%40 W · 34 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Under53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.042969%20 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.