La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb7aa6876a986ef5749213472533d8c9ae637363a674a00a9dd6c864ae9f3d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Oviedoof Elche CF, Real Oviedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Elche CF | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Oviedo | 52c | 1,799$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Real Oviedo | 76c | 912.67$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elche CF | 21c | 642.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Oviedo | 62c | 591.11$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Elche CF | 21c | 302.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Elche CF | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Real Oviedo | 38c | 181.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Elche CF | 32c | 180.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Oviedo | 57c | 148.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Elche CF | 62c | 146.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Elche CF | 50c | 135.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Elche CF | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Elche CF | 11c | 108.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Real Oviedo | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Elche CF | 22c | 98.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Elche CF | 24c | 93.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elche CF | 30c | 90.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Elche CF | 23c | 71.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Real Oviedo | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Oviedo | 67c | 60.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Elche CF | 45c | 39.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Real Oviedo | 45c | 30.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 26.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Real Oviedo | 48c | 26.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Real Oviedo | 48c | 21.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.