TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b3b…0353

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$4.61
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+279.1%+$29.45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$9.25
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.54
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$14.15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$37.43
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$13.84
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$22.72
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$11.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$6.17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$20.92
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+112%+$78.21
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)backed Dalian Yingbo FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.58
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)backed Dalian Yingbo FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$5.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$16.56
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultansbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$4.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Virgil" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.