CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea46adde3e030bc32aa670026573de76ee4d4680795a6f2d8e16ad8b1347874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Nuclear TigeRES | 15c | 1,364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Walczaki | 59c | 938.13$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.05 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nuclear TigeRES | 20c | 723.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 32c | 594.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 63c | 519.22$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 18c | 371.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Walczaki | 79c | 360.35$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 70c | 353.08$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 292.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…a386backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 278.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 69c | 276.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Walczaki | 59c | 257.27$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Walczaki | 49c | 223.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked Walczaki | 49c | 203.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Walczaki | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki | 73c | 121$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 71c | 78.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 62c | 66.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Walczaki | 53c | 66.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 61.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Nuclear TigeRES | 18c | 56.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Nuclear TigeRES | 34c | 56.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Walczaki | 53c | 51.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…ac5bbacked Walczaki | 71c | 45.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Walczaki | 60c | 41.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 288 | 44.1%127 W · 161 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Walczaki | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Walczaki | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Walczaki | 70c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Walczaki | 72c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.