CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ce17d47610fca3594712fa00ca3837a1267ac920c3b6a47508fb05ba9c0b13f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 3,165$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.31 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Walczaki | 44c | 1,204$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.61 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Walczaki | 36c | 971.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.49 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Walczaki | 27c | 898.83$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.14 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 824.89$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 23c | 727.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Walczaki | 38c | 512.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.79 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 50c | 401.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Walczaki | 64c | 339.36$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 298.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…a386backed Walczaki | 28c | 249.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Walczaki | 59c | 231.16$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 230.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 155.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 141.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki | 62c | 134$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Walczaki | 23c | 125.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 52c | 115.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Walczaki | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Walczaki | 40c | 98.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Walczaki | 74c | 92.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Walczaki | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Walczaki | 74c | 81.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Walczaki | 42c | 55.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nuclear TigeRES | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Walczaki | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Walczaki | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Walczaki | 72c | 35.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2b8ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 34.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 31.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Walczaki | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 29.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Walczaki | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a2…c7f8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 20.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 16.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.