TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x99d1…ee7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
651
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT24345.3%110 W · 133 L+15.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 243 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.66
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$108.3
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+149%+$120.94
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$291
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.89
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$91
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$72.53
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+139%+$66.29
Showing 25 of 243 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT22454.5%122 W · 102 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 224 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+310.7%+$200.79
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$193
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+84%+$58.45
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$101.26
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$62
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$230
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.56
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.6
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$40.6
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$107
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$40.5
Showing 25 of 224 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.03
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.75
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$237.02
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.6
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$45.5
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$141.99
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$131.99
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$137
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$65.71
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$37
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.68
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.8
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+257.1%+$43.2
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+323.8%+$103.14
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+101.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$119.55
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$151.75
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+410.4%+$83.96
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+629.2%+$604
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$445
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$181
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$44.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$82.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+230.3%+$278.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.24
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked IGZIST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST - Map 2 Winnerbacked IGZIST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$115.83
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.22
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$27.8
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Valorant: Grizzly Gang vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonbacked Grizzly Gang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Valorant: Joblife vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-83.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$34.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+189.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$103.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+246.3%+$71.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$690
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.