Will Wolves win on 2025-11-30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f76bdc94d0dac12c2c00cda1139f921e881e39d40ce8cf29d9a1bae4a2c885a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $281,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $288,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,126 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	12c	40,781$4,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,893.67	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0630…d067backed Yes	15c	36,936$5,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,693.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…cc53backed Yes	14c	35,460$4,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,918.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes	14c	28,571$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes	14c	8,400$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	14c	2,529$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.83	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	11c	2,411$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.78	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	36c	2,179$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.26	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0af1…abc0backed Yes	14c	2,125$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes	14c	1,611$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.74	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f9…ed9bbacked Yes	14c	1,586$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	13c	1,500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	13c	1,301$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.14	262	29.8%78 W · 184 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	13c	1,224$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.12	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eea…929abacked Yes	14c	1,071$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes	1c	1,007$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f67…03fcbacked Yes	14c	800$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	194	26.3%51 W · 143 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed Yes	6c	750$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	18c	700$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	280	70%196 W · 84 L	+49.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No	80c	700$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes	15c	675.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	14c	629$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.06	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes	11c	545.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	25	40%10 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	14c	505.36$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.75	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff2…81bcbacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes	16c	465.41$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.26	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes	14c	429$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.06	52	80.8%42 W · 10 L	+13.0wins	+0.25per pick	56cpaid	+57%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	138	42%58 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes	14c	362.86$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	200	27%54 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	97	36.1%35 W · 62 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	13c	304.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.64	1,244	49.4%615 W · 629 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	14c	243.07$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	327	37.6%123 W · 204 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes	6c	220.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	152	38.8%59 W · 93 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes	13c	219.58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	14c	200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	116	28.4%33 W · 83 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes	14c	193.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8075…52eebacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	13c	153.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…55b1backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf35b…983bbacked Yes	14c	148.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a4…9bbebacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes	14c	128.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	14c	109.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.48	204	25%51 W · 153 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefe2…ca91backed Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x550e…4e52backed Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	114	20.2%23 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…f191backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9d…1b00backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes	11c	98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	70c	82$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	30c	75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31eb…ba4bbacked Yes	14c	71.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Wolves win on 2025-11-30?this page
Will Aston Villa vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Wolves win on 2025-11-30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event