Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64adf4a2f837fc3dd73ac51535d87cecba19fc5d26e0fe07e002a7d89e9c8134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,115,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,344,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 510 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 65c | 209,414$136,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,574.56 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 35c | 135,000$47,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,249.96 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 34c | 122,765$41,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,734.57 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 66c | 109,769$72,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,321.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 35c | 47,811$16,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,733.73 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…cc53backed No | 34c | 47,356$16,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 34c | 45,300$15,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,401.97 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 38c | 39,913$15,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,019.74 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 36c | 34,328$12,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,418.91 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 23,352$7,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,861.76 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 65c | 23,077$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.92 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 21,821$14,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,443.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 69c | 21,360$14,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.75 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 35c | 19,248$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,656.15 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 55c | 19,166$10,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,541.1 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 18,719$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 34c | 16,610$5,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722.9 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 15,162$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.54 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 66c | 13,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 10,000$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.83 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 56c | 8,722$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.58 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 71c | 8,701$6,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.57 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 63c | 8,318$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.15 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 66c | 7,500$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 65c | 6,466$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.58 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 65c | 5,706$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.4 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 5,393$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.57 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 65c | 4,767$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 4,707$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.39 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 34c | 3,836$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.34 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 3,195$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.09 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 55c | 3,018$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.08 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…5295backed Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 2,862$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 2,700$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 35c | 2,689$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 2,522$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.01 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 7c | 2,430$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 35c | 2,357$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.06 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 35c | 2,266$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.09 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 64c | 1,999$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 65c | 1,754$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.85 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 66c | 1,656$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.12 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 33c | 1,500$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.54 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 32c | 1,436$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.46 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,413$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.47 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,384$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.91 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed Yes | 67c | 1,343$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 34c | 1,322$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.68 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,300$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.76 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 16c | 1,253$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,250$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 34c | 1,249$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.69 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 67c | 1,200$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…8df0backed Yes | 65c | 1,186$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,152$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 1,150$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.24 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,123$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.13 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e43…6170backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 66c | 980$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 898.65$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.47 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Yes | 67c | 892.84$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 35c | 847$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 65c | 772.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.31 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 65c | 770.77$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.77 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…bd57backed Yes | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 69c | 732.29$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 65c | 729.92$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 567.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes | 66c | 515.15$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 66c | 514$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 60c | 509.64$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.16 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 57c | 508.33$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 66c | 506.43$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.78 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 66c | 505.91$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.