TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,115,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,344,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 510 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c209,414$136,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,574.561,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No35c135,000$47,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,249.9620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No34c122,765$41,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,734.578940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Yes66c109,769$72,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,321.511861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No35c47,811$16,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,733.7315949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…cc53backed No34c47,356$16,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,10120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No34c45,300$15,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,401.977542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No38c39,913$15,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,019.7427750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No36c34,328$12,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,418.9129253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes45c30,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,5009646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c23,352$7,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,861.7631944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes65c23,077$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,076.924065%26 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c21,821$14,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,443.21,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes69c21,360$14,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,517.759946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No35c19,248$6,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,656.1521853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No55c19,166$10,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,541.121154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c18,719$5,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,763.126,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No34c16,610$5,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,722.910335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No24c15,162$3,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.541,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes66c13,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.882250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No56c10,000$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,593.8319652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes56c8,722$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.5828070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes71c8,701$6,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.5741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes63c8,318$5,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.1523350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes66c7,500$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55520646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes65c6,466$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.588958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes65c5,706$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.413852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes69c5,393$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.571,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes65c4,767$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.312755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c4,707$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.3967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No34c3,836$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.342123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c3,195$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.092,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes55c3,018$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.084050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef72…5295backed Yes62c3,000$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5510768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c2,862$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.94,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No34c2,700$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9211,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No35c2,689$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9413842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No34c2,522$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.011,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No7c2,430$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9325329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No35c2,357$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.0651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No35c2,266$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.0914450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9d9…e01fbacked No34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes64c1,999$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.78757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes65c1,754$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.8524047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes66c1,656$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.1212252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.157844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No33c1,500$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.547149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No32c1,436$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4613727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes65c1,413$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.4779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes65c1,384$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.9149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…e0e1backed Yes67c1,343$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No34c1,322$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.6825551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes49c1,300$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.7617042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No16c1,253$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7613249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes66c1,250$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4255743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No34c1,249$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.6911346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes67c1,200$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39241437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…8df0backed Yes65c1,186$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes65c1,152$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.634134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No39c1,150$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.241,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes55c1,123$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.1329044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes66c1,000$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e43…6170backed Yes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes66c980$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.087035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes65c898.65$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.471,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae8…5794backed Yes67c892.84$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.592445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No35c847$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.452642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2553134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes65c772.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.317755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes65c770.77$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7720054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe71…bd57backed Yes66c750$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes69c732.29$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.015151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes65c729.92$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.475141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2385149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.676435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3614138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Yes66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0623741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No39c567.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.831,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes65c538.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.467339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes66c515.15$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.151266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes66c514$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.764975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes60c509.64$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1617744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes57c508.33$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3317748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes66c506.43$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes66c505.91$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0111349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.