TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over41c11,396$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,680.3120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under60c9,455$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,665.1825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under60c8,916$5,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,328.4264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over40c6,171$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,702.65543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over72c4,533$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.6724159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under59c3,383$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under58c2,556$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a26…e1e5backed Under61c2,100$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under27c2,042$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.341,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c1,890$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.811,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under11c1,601$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.362,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over42c1,425$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.778648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Under59c1,168$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c1,167$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c998.4$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over40c988$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.361,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under31c855.85$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c721.7$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over72c550$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over40c509.03$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under5c456.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9821848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Under60c429.44$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.662642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over40c419.82$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under7c415.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over40c377.6$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.751,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Over41c366.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.839642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Over68c336.17$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.173043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over37c321.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.248844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over41c299.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9910747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c293.07$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under59c283.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5421446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over56c276.5$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a8…a8adbacked Over42c260.05$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Under14c259$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.265459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c253.53$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x080b…27a6backed Under34c249.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over42c238.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2118853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under36c229.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.11861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Under60c223.42$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356639.4%26 W · 40 L-11.8wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9825846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133d…bcb8backed Under9c198.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under20c195$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9917237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under60c188.57$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9922053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under16c186.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9922753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over59c182.82$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over40c171$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under59c169.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over39c164.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b8…deb6backed Under60c164.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.551668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under60c152.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over61c149.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c132.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Under38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+101.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7527245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd1…42cebacked Over51c121.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under28c119$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under15c115.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.389853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x68f0…7443backed Over42c115.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under10c115.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over40c115$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1988…a534backed Over70c114.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.253650%18 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed Under61c111.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.182356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over41c102.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4418743.3%81 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5926345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe7…ffc9backed Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+142.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over51c96.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ec…a3adbacked Under55c91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over40c87.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.625657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under56c82.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…21efbacked Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d4…2e6bbacked Under50c80.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over51c71.32$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over41c70.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.736233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under60c70.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2326755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c61.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Over41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.984963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b10…523bbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.711555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Under32c54.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.265536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over40c53.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.223964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under43c53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.791,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a94…c35ebacked Under29c50.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.789046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under61c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over73c42.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.461,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64b…e453backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cc…094fbacked Under60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Under60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over40c39.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.736045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.