TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs40c10,828$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,550.8664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks52c8,645$4,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks35c6,578$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.591,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks61c5,165$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Spurs46c5,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6907950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Knicks61c4,300$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6235850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs51c2,135$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.232,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks57c2,123$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks49c2,079$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.3355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs55c1,935$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.0753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs49c1,879$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs39c1,842$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.0632347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs24c1,642$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.1316633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs53c1,584$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.085349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks49c1,509$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.081,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a1…3e3dbacked Spurs39c1,415$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+112.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs45c1,242$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.151,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Spurs39c1,234$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.7421446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks60c1,182$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.339842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks56c1,078$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs39c1,000$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.2425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Knicks55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9920856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs52c987.13$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.821,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks48c986.34$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.448439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Knicks56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs58c879.88$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Spurs55c872.73$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.7311743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Knicks61c863.39$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.6714148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs52c830.16$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks60c822.22$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3312146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed Knicks62c808.42$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.222475%18 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa720…4e2dbacked Spurs24c779.99$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs60c779.99$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs39c699.97$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks36c682.88$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7121848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs52c623.08$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0862948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks59c593.9$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.041,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bca…824ebacked Spurs36c555$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks33c527.94$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.071,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3272250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs39c507.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.4418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks29c499.77$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.931,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks62c495.46$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1225554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Spurs38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2482733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks61c395.69$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.51,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Knicks48c391.67$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Spurs38c379.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5937848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Spurs40c372.5$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks61c362.08$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.471,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks60c360.21$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3325954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfa10…8ee9backed Spurs39c359.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks10c303.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Spurs37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks60c299.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9910747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Spurs37c299.96$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.976619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks7c297.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.399956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Knicks69c294.23$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks60c280$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa955…55d4backed Knicks62c277.77$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks24c268.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs47c268.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2222753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Spurs39c254.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Spurs40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Knicks6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531951.1%163 W · 156 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1649…7f22backed Knicks41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks60c230.02$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Knicks48c222.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks61c200.97$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5918653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Knicks62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12426755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spurs39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1228637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Knicks43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8611329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Knicks65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs47c197.27$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b02…083abacked Spurs39c192.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f1…1ebdbacked Knicks63c190.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks72c177.64$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks29c174.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0117237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs38c167.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3113161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Spurs42c165.93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6314237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Knicks61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Knicks62c151$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.629044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Spurs40c137.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.513021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks42c137.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks55c133$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spurs40c127.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Spurs40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Knicks42c124.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.434531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Knicks61c124$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks38c119$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3919548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Spurs39c117.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.644637%17 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs35c115.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.731,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Knicks23c114.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.256141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs48c109.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4815044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Knicks47c108.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.921849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Knicks58c106.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.