TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4852…67c4backed Knicks56c10,714$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks18c10,551$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.571,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs45c10,457$4,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,752.0225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks55c10,434$5,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,738.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Spurs44c8,864$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,963.641942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683d…43b4backed Spurs44c8,800$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,927.971338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks45c6,902$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,112.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks54c5,398$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.7210944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks55c3,805$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.9462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs45c3,628$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Spurs45c3,338$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks58c2,824$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks24c2,766$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.939956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs54c2,698$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.35349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs64c2,335$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.5230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spurs45c2,017$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.588637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs44c2,000$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks55c1,955$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Spurs45c1,911$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.0518444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0c…c1f2backed Knicks56c1,761$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs65c1,747$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.251,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Knicks55c1,353$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.195940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Spurs44c1,234$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.0421446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs43c1,224$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.681,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks60c1,201$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.1452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs36c1,138$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.5621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks55c1,019$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.126753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x839b…16b8backed Spurs43c920.4$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs68c911.4$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.641,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs34c899.53$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.711,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks55c839.97$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.3812146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs47c823.14$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.5455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks57c790.98$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.781,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks56c786.07$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.211,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs45c711.74$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks56c666.58$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs50c611.35$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3562948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Knicks55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Knicks56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks7c571$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9716429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221d…797abacked Spurs42c550$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3192343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e1…6851backed Spurs43c549.96$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.481758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Knicks55c534.07$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7425651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…a98cbacked Knicks56c522.21$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs52c520.35$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Spurs30c494.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.035446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks18c485$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks56c459.43$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks36c450.26$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2125045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b0…4362backed Knicks56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf71f…3cafbacked Knicks56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks64c446.32$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Knicks55c445.55$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks55c420$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs44c407.94$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4513161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c19…3ec0backed Knicks56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2242343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs44c393.45$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.331,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Spurs52c384.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.713053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Spurs43c383.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7229046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Spurs43c375.26$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Knicks57c370.26$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Spurs45c344.44$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4421950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Knicks56c326.77$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.994447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks57c308.78$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Knicks57c308.62$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755422.2%12 W · 42 L-11.5wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Spurs45c307.31$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.021136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Spurs43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1716619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs63c288.12$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs58c279.29$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Knicks55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks59c229.77$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaaf…20c0backed Spurs45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Spurs46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3919950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks18c213$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3230…9cfcbacked Spurs41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Knicks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44b…5accbacked Spurs50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Knicks56c195.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.484047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Knicks56c192$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5212450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs39c184.54$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3852053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ae…2103backed Knicks55c179.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.684544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Knicks56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs51c165.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Knicks55c152.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0410941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Spurs46c146$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.843946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs69c143.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7712055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks58c138.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Knicks53c136.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.222544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Knicks62c136$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.757152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa955…55d4backed Knicks56c135$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks59c131.37$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5115648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks62c130.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7621953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Knicks14c130$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks62c129.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6515044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Spurs43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2811450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.