NBA · resolved market
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52afef97b206cebd994971ed35c0695dc0b4f48ddf0f66a35205519e8bdbb224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 47c | 2,351$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.05 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 50c | 1,397$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.6 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5ce9backed Yes | 50c | 265.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…71ddbacked Yes | 56c | 263.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed No | 54c | 250.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…acd3backed Yes | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…ded7backed Yes | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Yes | 53c | 189.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 53c | 185.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed No | 42c | 165.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…63f0backed No | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 43c | 108.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 46c | 106.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed No | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…d260backed Yes | 50c | 98.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…40d8backed Yes | 61c | 95.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f18…f384backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 50c | 89.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 83.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 52c | 59.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 45c | 54.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed No | 48c | 50.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 44c | 48.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 42c | 44.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -11.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 38.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…7d91backed No | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…8d16backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…20c4backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 60c | 24.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…6a1fbacked Yes | 59c | 24.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Yes | 52c | 21.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 56c | 18.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.