TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs59c1,079$638 inLost-$637.7525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Knicks40c948$376 inWon+$572.2879650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs55c704.27$387 inLost-$387.352,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaced…e23abacked Knicks45c649.27$292 inWon+$357.14535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs57c299.99$171 inLost-$171.4718445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Spurs61c291$177 inLost-$177.263946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs53c258.17$138 inLost-$137.644,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…0879backed Spurs56c172.62$96 inLost-$96.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Spurs56c158.93$89 inLost-$8922844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Knicks43c140.2$60 inWon+$80.0555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Knicks47c139.11$65 inWon+$74.1125850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Knicks44c133.67$59 inWon+$74.8611145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks44c128.93$57 inWon+$72.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Spurs53c99.99$53 inLost-$5311852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Knicks43c98.98$43 inWon+$56.421338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs62c94$58 inLost-$58.0730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks36c92$33 inWon+$59.111,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8759…b340backed Knicks27c90.59$24 inWon+$66.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs74c82.59$61 inLost-$60.921848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76fb…5ef5backed Knicks42c80$34 inWon+$46.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks45c64.71$29 inWon+$35.5984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks44c55$24 inWon+$30.818651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Spurs56c55$31 inLost-$30.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Knicks43c49.52$21 inWon+$28.23560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks40c45$18 inWon+$2712150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Knicks45c44.44$20 inWon+$24.445345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Knicks40c38.25$15 inWon+$22.953148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Spurs54c31.71$17 inLost-$17.121,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fee…29acbacked Knicks41c30$12 inWon+$17.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Spurs53c25$13 inLost-$13.253548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Knicks40c25$10 inWon+$1529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs59c19$11 inLost-$11.211,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.