TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$352,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks52c57,355$29,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,645.8164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks50c57,207$28,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,430.2526753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Knicks50c52,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,0008452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs50c36,570$18,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,361.6314538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs50c32,884$16,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,540.6525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00011447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs47c14,409$6,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,581.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs49c12,084$5,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.9839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs48c10,338$4,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,375.5418651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…d46cbacked Spurs50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Spurs40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.962441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Spurs49c9,953$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.065655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks54c8,892$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.3419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Knicks52c8,560$4,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,451.26045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Spurs48c8,533$4,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,437.085940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs50c8,147$4,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.522,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs50c8,120$4,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.1755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Knicks51c7,092$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.7515952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks30c6,531$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs71c6,510$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.7830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks50c5,600$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Spurs49c4,588$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.8813946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Spurs49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.8218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6313153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Knicks53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00052760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs50c3,176$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.251,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…78e5backed Spurs49c3,018$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+123.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks35c2,973$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.0953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Knicks50c2,961$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.55354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Knicks51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2752653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Spurs51c2,378$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.4337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs39c2,255$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Knicks53c2,186$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.7210046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Knicks51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks49c1,985$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.7989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks50c1,938$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.7962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Knicks3c1,790$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.72615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Knicks51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8161,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Spurs49c1,541$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.984045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Spurs47c1,526$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.9214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Knicks43c1,518$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65023652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs68c1,494$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.631,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Spurs49c1,440$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.81,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs49c1,433$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Knicks52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67613644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks41c1,219$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Knicks51c1,216$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Spurs50c1,176$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks58c1,133$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.441,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs48c1,110$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs66c1,053$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs77c1,051$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.811,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs49c1,030$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.2911558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Spurs49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.417458.1%43 W · 31 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs64c1,001$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.981,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spurs49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5108637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks60c959$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.42,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Spurs49c892.82$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.345839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d94…541abacked Spurs49c871.92$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Knicks46c865.99$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.352846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Spurs48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks9c827.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs48c719.99$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.1612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks34c703.25$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8421848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Knicks50c654.16$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0217551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks51c527.31$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…e350backed Spurs49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.21741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0c4abacked Knicks52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…5a60backed Spurs48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…db97backed Spurs45c490$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.68534.1%29 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c39…d10bbacked Knicks53c477.36$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5c…8645backed Spurs48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3269…d5b3backed Spurs47c450$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…2370backed Knicks52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Knicks52c449.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Knicks52c449.46$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs49c447.35$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks49c440.52$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.261,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Spurs45c431.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks51c426.09$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs60c424.24$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.416038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xca5f…7854backed Knicks51c419.93$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.171450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5547…3a41backed Knicks51c416$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eed…cf44backed Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2614…c50bbacked Spurs50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks51c390$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.831,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs74c386.15$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1312055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb7e…b119backed Spurs48c381.59$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs66c363.62$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2dbebacked Spurs49c361.63$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks5c350$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs66c342.08$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.897152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Spurs48c327.08$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.08875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Spurs51c322.35$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9516147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs48c318.05$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.391,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs66c302.32$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7740…cd28backed Spurs49c301.47$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks48c291.9$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2210944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.