TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs56c17,008$9,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,417.4164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs59c14,704$8,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,086.3310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks41c12,195$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks41c12,189$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.6963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Knicks40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.072330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks52c7,336$3,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.9739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks41c5,788$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9910049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs51c3,957$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Knicks41c3,125$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.2527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs46c2,523$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Spurs59c1,950$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.4964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs72c1,863$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.021,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks52c1,721$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.0118651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks34c1,286$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Spurs59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4922665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Spurs59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Knicks54c1,175$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.534173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs75c1,067$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.343,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks31c1,043$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Spurs48c1,016$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.322236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks40c1,003$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.282,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Spurs60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40022041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks40c929.49$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Spurs59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Knicks41c719$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.796258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs59c716.55$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.361,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs58c708.77$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Spurs48c708.33$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Knicks51c691$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.415459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs55c611$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.955349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…390abacked Knicks41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2462157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs48c559$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Spurs57c527.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.987638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs74c523.45$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.171,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Knicks41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks40c419.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7552…72cfbacked Spurs58c399.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs59c378.31$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.911,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Knicks41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks11c363$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9316429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Spurs48c348.46$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.21384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs58c338.9$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.341,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8edc…3a70backed Knicks41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6177…86e0backed Spurs58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.22055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84df…e3b8backed Spurs58c240$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd863…baf3backed Spurs48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043129%9 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Spurs59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a50…e934backed Spurs75c188.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Knicks41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.89438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a97…4d92backed Knicks28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks9c173$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.571,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Spurs60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…6761backed Spurs59c166.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f5…9d13backed Spurs60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605068%34 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Spurs61c144.26$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x928f…b619backed Knicks42c126.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+64.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26db…6191backed Spurs60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2cc…94dbbacked Knicks42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501675%12 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Knicks41c117.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks41c114$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7418445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs57c112.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.068355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Spurs49c101.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs66c100.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.046038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked Knicks41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs51c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5325944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed Knicks42c95.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.13655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs59c87.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7218853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Spurs59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e1a…f7d9backed Knicks22c84.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc651…4e2cbacked Spurs61c80.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks41c80.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…1bd8backed Spurs60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Knicks40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…fc3fbacked Knicks41c71.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.281952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs67c69.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks38c64.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs58c64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Spurs75c61.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452576%19 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcffc…0f81backed Knicks42c60.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80fc…d404backed Spurs60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks34c58.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs50c57.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5415044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Knicks40c53.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Knicks42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs65c39.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks33c38.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.827245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs67c38.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7b…9c3abacked Knicks52c38.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5079…e560backed Knicks42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ae8…e1b3backed Spurs61c32.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.755100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f78…e043backed Knicks43c28.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks47c25.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9722753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.