TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$603,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$591,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Spurs52c147,197$76,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,654.714546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs54c86,446$46,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,154.7814538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks46c61,586$28,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,345.358439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks46c57,838$26,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,808.1918651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Knicks47c51,963$24,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,53210448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs53c39,434$20,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,533.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Knicks48c34,867$16,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,736.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Knicks47c30,361$14,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,269.545154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks28c24,997$6,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,891.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Knicks46c23,066$10,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,610.2315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spurs52c21,342$11,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,244.1426753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db3…0d97backed Knicks48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs54c18,500$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,51017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks47c15,957$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Spurs53c15,202$8,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,144.891942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Knicks48c13,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,24052760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks48c9,031$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,335.0725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Spurs54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.067064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Knicks48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Knicks47c7,873$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.296241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks48c6,279$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,015.1710944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Knicks50c5,322$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66111946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks48c5,251$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.3264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked Knicks48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+63.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Knicks48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Knicks48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Spurs54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked Spurs64c3,687$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+79.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Spurs53c3,593$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.84050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs56c3,334$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.9285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Knicks48c3,100$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48816050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs53c3,071$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Spurs53c2,834$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.214465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks46c2,539$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1681,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Spurs53c2,415$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.096947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Spurs53c2,264$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.158450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0d…ca2cbacked Spurs53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.473030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbba9…2e70backed Knicks5c2,017$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Knicks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Spurs53c1,958$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.417447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Spurs53c1,891$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.9921142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Spurs53c1,808$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.7613946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Knicks1c1,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1880%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Spurs53c1,798$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.047950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs54c1,624$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks30c1,588$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0742842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Knicks1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531951.1%163 W · 156 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Knicks1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks42c1,423$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.7530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd977…61d5backed Knicks48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs52c1,416$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks47c1,230$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.0465939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs53c1,190$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.261,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Knicks47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Spurs53c1,031$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.0710958.7%64 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Knicks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks48c1,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Knicks47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.997153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs52c999.98$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9935049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks25c975.44$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Spurs53c969$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.4329556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Knicks48c937.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Knicks38c933.59$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.776141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6911…9996backed Spurs53c928.47$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.381070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks36c920$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Spurs53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4236163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Knicks2c880.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.324032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks2c853.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs64c824.96$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.991,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs53c819.99$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.412146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks48c812.5$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks47c800.88$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.4286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs69c786.32$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.791,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a00…159dbacked Spurs38c747.79$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Knicks48c732.95$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.827247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Knicks48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Knicks48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs70c617.24$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.941,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cf…34d4backed Spurs53c569.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Spurs54c567.44$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.023053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Knicks48c555$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.48644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs72c547.61$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.151,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Knicks47c531.4$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8412548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Knicks47c521.28$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Knicks48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf2…a258backed Knicks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf373…dc57backed Spurs52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…1967backed Spurs52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Knicks48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7448…b4cfbacked Knicks47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Knicks47c499.96$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5184…d17abacked Spurs53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.72268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs72c471.61$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Knicks45c470$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.417747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9047…7663backed Spurs53c468.13$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Spurs65c463.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.834252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e6…7e59backed Knicks47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5877…4332backed Spurs52c450$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs47c432.65$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.271,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.