TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9db3…0d97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
13
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Boxing, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10,545.15
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,000
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,333.33
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+170.7%+$1,707.05
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+72.4%+$724.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.7%+$5,814.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,410.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.